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By George Gilder – Technology Profits Summit


It might be hard to believe, but the government monopoly on money can be overthrown tomorrow. We, the people, can master it and make it our servant. How?

Mainly because we live in an information economy, which is an economy of mind. Meaning it can be changed as fast as minds can change. 

Money is not a mystery. And a reversal of policy can affect massive improvements in very little time. In the same way that existing policies suppress growth, a change in policy can bring about an instant and sharp enhancement of all economic activity.

How do we make that change?

To answer that question, let’s review prior economic transformations and how we can learn from them…

When the System Worked

After World War II, when 10 million demobilized servicemen returned from the front to an economy that had to be converted from a garrison state to meet civilian needs, economists steeled themselves for a renewed great depression.

But a big Republican victory in the elections of 1946 propelled a drastic turn away from the government-planning regime of the war. Government spending plummeted by no less than 61% between 1945 and 1947.

The economist Arnold Kling of the Cato Institute observes that “as a percentage of GDP the decrease in government purchases was larger than would result from the total elimination of government today.”

Some 150,000 government regulators were laid off, along with perhaps a million other civilian employees of government.

Disbanded were such managerial agencies as the War Production Board, the War Labor Board, and the Office of Price Administration, beloved of John Kenneth Galbraith. Every Keynesian and socialist economist confidently predicted doom.

In 1945, Paul Samuelson prophesied “the greatest period of unemployment and dislocation which any economy has ever faced.” There was no new depression, though. In fact, the historic ascent of America saved the world economy from socialism.

Economic growth surged by 10% over two years… The civilian labor force expanded by seven million workers… Released from wartime controls, the private sector launched a 10-year boom despite tax rates on investors as high as 91%.

Compensating for the high top rates was an effective 50% tax cut through the enactment of the joint return for households.

Freed from regulations and tax burdens and relieved of wartime stresses, large manufacturing corporations emerged as spearheads of global capitalism.

Crucially complementing these deregulatory policies was an era of relatively sound and reliable money. Of course, this worldwide ascent from depression and war was built around a simple framework that we no longer have: the gold exchange standard…


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A Return to Higher Standards

Negotiated in 1944 among all the Allied Powers at Bretton Woods, it made currencies convertible into dollars, which in turn were convertible into gold at 35 dollars an ounce.

The fixed exchange rates of Bretton Woods provided the stability that lengthened the horizons of global investment and enterprise.

Remaining in place throughout the postwar boom, they provided the monetary backing for global growth that averaged 2.8% per year for 25 years, a level unequaled before or since and almost double the growth rate since 1971.

There were few defaults, no banking crises, and an efflorescence of innovation and progress in what even current prophets of “secular stagnation” regard as a golden age. Then it all changed.

After the end of Bretton Woods, in 1971, the monetary regime became mostly dependent on the politics of central banking, chiefly the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.

Yes, the dollar provided an adequate haven for extended periods. But reliable money became increasingly scarce.

With the Central Bank’s ability to easily manipulate money, anyone with a long-term investment or asset, a fixed goal or visionary cause, deep pockets or commitments, a family or a career, or even an enduring job, becomes a gull for the government.

What people call money is actually mere credit and debt with no reliable unit of account. The thing is, money is not a mere manifestation of economic power; it is a crucial source of information.

Only to the extent that its signals of value are reliable and true can it guide the learning curves of wealth creation.

In the past, the critique of monopoly money has taken the form of proposals for conferences, balanced budget amendments to the Constitution, audits of the Federal Reserve, and calls for a new Bretton Woods agreement.

Yet at a time of crisis, these ideas, however appealing, seem either trivial or implausible A return to the gold standard, however, could put us on the path to actually restoring real money.


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Restoration Can Begin Overnight 

A new gold standard will emerge when governments end their monopoly and remove obstructive taxes on alternative currencies.

Allowed to move experimentally toward the time constraints of real money, digital payment systems will evolve with gold into a new information system for the global economy.

Critics of a gold standard fear it would restrict the money supply. But a gold standard does not fix the amount of money; it defines its value.

Thus gold does not reduce the supply of real money. It increases the demand for it.

Under the gold standard in the United States between 1775 and 1900, the money supply rose faster than at any time before or since — by a factor of 160 — while the population rose by a factor of 25 and the nation forged its Industrial Revolution.

This 160-fold rise in the real money supply, moreover, produced almost no inflation.

A gold standard complemented by bitcoin-related technologies on the Internet would provide a supply of real money for the first time since 1971.

Gold enables real money by fixing its value to the passage of time. The supply is then determined by us, by private economic activity and learning based on the informative webs of authentic price signals.

Gold already serves as a monetary metric for millions of people around the globe.

  • From China and India to the Middle Eastern oil kingdoms, many nations are increasing their stores of gold.
  • Scores of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists are tapping gold’s potential in international commerce.
  • The Gold Standard Clearing House has experimentally reduced transaction times to under a hundred milliseconds. From Anthem Vault to bitgold, entrepreneurs are developing ingenious combinations of the bitcoin blockchain with gold backing.

Granted, with a buildup of mountains of debt and contingent liabilities across the globe under the management of central banks, there seems to be no direct legislative path to a gold standard today.

But even if the nation cannot forcibly impose a new gold standard on the world, real money should not be seen as an arbitrary legal structure or policy.

It is an expression of the natural order of the economy — the system of the world.

And by dismantling onerous controls and confiscatory tax rates, bold policymakers could still work miracles of growth almost overnight.

The Seven Keys to Long-Term Investment Success, Part II

By Whitney Tilson, founder, Empire Financial Research


Yesterday I talked about three important lessons I learned from more than two decades on Wall Street.

These are some of the most important things you can do as an investor to improve your long-term results and build lasting wealth in the markets.

Today, we’ll continue with more keys to long-term success, starting with Rule No. 4…


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Tech insiders are holding their breath for what’s about to be revealed

… A prediction that could mean the END for market giants like Google, Facebook, Amazon and more…

… And it has the potential to make early adopters as much as $1,000,000.

It’s all happening on July 2 at 1 pm est, with the return of the world’s #1 tech futurist George Gilder.

Click here for all of the details.


Focus on free cash flow, not net income

There’s an old saying on Wall Street that goes, “Net income is an opinion, but cash is a fact.”

Net income – the bottom line of the income statement – is the number that investors tend to focus on. How often have you read a headline along the lines of: “XYZ’s stock is down today because the company missed earnings expectations”?

Because of this, management teams often try their best to “manage” net income. Usually, this doesn’t entail outright fraud. Rather, net income can be manipulated by rushing products out the door at the end of each quarter (thereby boosting revenue) or reducing assumptions for uncollectable accounts, warranty costs, depreciation, and the like.

But none of these shenanigans influence the cash-flow statement, which simply tracks the actual cash flowing in and out of a business. That’s why I always cross-reference both the income and cash-flow statements.

If operating cash flow consistently trails net income over time, look out!

A great example is telecom-equipment maker Lucent, whose stock peaked in 1999 at $84 a share. The company had beaten analysts’ estimates quarter after quarter. And it was booking big sales and profits, reporting $3.8 billion of net income in the first three quarters of 1999 versus just $815 million in the same period in 1998.

But the cash-flow statement told another story… Cash flow from operations was negative $1.3 billion in the first three quarters of 1999 versus positive $1.6 billion the previous year – a negative swing of $2.9 billion!

It turns out that Lucent was selling equipment to many dicey startup companies that were increasingly having difficulty raising capital. And without new cash, they couldn’t pay for the products Lucent had delivered to them…

Savvy investors who paid attention to the cash-flow statement and got out saved themselves from a bloodbath. The stock collapsed to around $2 a share.

Be wary of companies that are constantly making acquisitions

Various studies have shown that 70%-90% of acquisitions fail.

It’s not hard to see why. Sellers have perfect information and generally only opt to sell when the company and/or industry is at a peak. And buyers tend to be overconfident and are often motivated by empire-building or other noneconomic factors.

Plus, hiccups (or worse) are common when integrating two companies, which may have different cultures and systems. Lastly, it’s easy to play games with the numbers when acquisitions occur, greatly increasing the chances of accounting fraud.

For all of these reasons, it’s generally best to view highly acquisitive companies with a skeptical eye.

That said, this isn’t a hard-and-fast rule because there are a few notable exceptions…

For example, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) has made dozens of acquisitions over the years, nearly all of which have worked out beautifully. In fact, Berkshire’s acquisition of National Indemnity back in the 1960s provided the entire foundation for Buffett’s $500 billion empire.

We’ve also seen brilliant acquisitions from Alphabet (GOOGL), which bought video-streaming platform YouTube in 2006 for $1.7 billion… and Facebook (FB), which purchased Instagram in 2012 for $1 billion. Both of those acquisitions have added tremendous value to their respective companies over the years.

In summary, be careful! When it comes to acquisitions, history has shown that more things go wrong than right.


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  • The AVERAGE investor pockets an extraordinary 57X in just under a decade using it.
  • Until Teeka’s reveal last night, Wall Street had essentially walled Main Street off from this investment.

PLUS, Teeka has watched a personal investment of $1k turn into up to $1.6 million


Avoid shorting, but respect short sellers

During my nearly two decades of managing money, my primary focus was on buying and holding undervalued stocks. But I also shorted hundreds of stocks over the years.

Shorting is a brutally difficult endeavor. Overall, I lost a lot of money doing it. So my advice to nearly all investors is simple: Don’t! It’s too hard and too risky.

That said, you’d be well-served to learn about what short sellers look for. It will help you avoid “value traps” – stocks that appear attractive, but end up going nowhere (or worse, down a lot).

To survive, short sellers have to be very smart and do outstanding in-depth research – far more so than traditional long-only investors. Thus, if you’re considering buying a stock with a high short interest, stop and do even more research.

Here’s a good rule of thumb: Any time you plan to go long a stock with a short interest of more than 5% of the shares outstanding, watch out. It means that a lot of sharp investors are betting against you, and you need to figure out what they’re seeing.

Though I’m cautious of companies with a high short interest, there are occasional exceptions. In fact, some of my best long ideas have come from stocks that are popular among the shorts because it reflects extreme negativity toward a stock.

A good example of this is my trade on Netflix (NFLX). The stock had fallen by more than 80% and was trading at a split-adjusted $7.78 a share on October 1, 2012. That day, the short interest was a staggering 30%.

But I wasn’t dissuaded. I knew who was betting against it (and why)… and I was convinced they were wrong. So I pitched it at my investing conference… wrote about it… and appeared on CNBC telling folks it was going to be the next Amazon (AMZN).

The company’s market cap has since gone from $3 billion to $160 billion, and it’s been a popular short the entire way up. I’d estimate it has cost the short sellers about $30 billion – yet there’s still a 4% short interest!

That said, I’d urge you to have tremendous respect for short sellers. Any who have survived this historic 10-year-old bull market have had to be good. They’ve been swimming upstream against a powerful current for the past decade!

Keep things simple

The best investment ideas can usually be explained in writing in one page or verbally in a couple of minutes. And their success is usually dependent on a few factors – sometimes only one – that need to be analyzed and evaluated.

But it’s easy to forget this with the Internet at your fingertips and round-the-clock coverage of the markets. Investors are bombarded with so much information that it can be almost impossible to separate the signal from the noise.

Doing so is critical to long-term investment success… Follow these rules, and you’ll be much closer to achieving it.

How to Profit Even When You Lose 90% of the Time

By Grant Wasylik, analyst, Palm Beach Daily

Founded in 1972, Sequoia Capital is one of the oldest venture capital (VC) firms around.

Headquartered in Silicon Valley’s Menlo Park, its core focus is technology startups.

Sequoia even funded some of today’s most well-known companies before they became famous: Apple, Google, Instagram, Oracle, PayPal, Stripe, Yahoo, and YouTube.

And several of its investments have recorded massive returns:

  • Google’s initial public offering (IPO) turned a $12.5 million investment into $4.3 billion. That’s more than a 344x return.
  • Facebook’s acquisition of WhatsApp turned a $60 million investment into $3 billion—a 50x return.
  • Dropbox’s IPO turned three seed rounds (initial funding stages) into an all-in average 467x return.
  • Chinese online delivery service Meituan-Dianping’s IPO turned a $400 million investment into $4.9 billion—a 12x return.
  • Chinese shipment company ZTO Express’ IPO turned a $60 million investment into $960 million for a 16x return.

Now, on the surface, Sequoia’s track record looks flawless. I wouldn’t blame you if you thought it had some type of crystal ball.

But here’s the thing… Top VC firms like Sequoia actually miss more often than they hit.

In fact, some have win rates of only 10%. That’s right: They’re striking out 90% of the time. Yet they’re still highly successful.

And today, I’ll show you how to apply this strategy to your own portfolio—plus tell you a unique way to get in on these types of deals…


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Tech insiders are holding their breath for what’s about to be revealed

… A prediction that could mean the END for market giants like Google, Facebook, Amazon and more…

… And it has the potential to make early adopters as much as $1,000,000.

It’s all happening on July 2 at 1 pm est, with the return of the world’s #1 tech futurist George Gilder.

Click here for all of the details.


Home-Run Investing

Being a successful early-stage investor isn’t just about how many small bets you win or lose.

Instead, it’s all about the average returns of your winning and losing investments. You see, your win rate isn’t as important as the size of your average winner versus the size of your average loser.

And that’s why VC firms look for early-stage companies with 10x potential upside or more. If they bag just one huge winner, it more than makes up for a string of losers.

The table below shows you how the math works…

Hypothetical VC Portfolio Investment Return Balance
Early-Stage Investment 1 $100 -100% $0
Early-Stage Investment 2 $100 -100% $0
Early-Stage Investment 3 $100 -100% $0
Early-Stage Investment 4 $100 -50% $50
Early-Stage Investment 5 $100 -50% $50
Early-Stage Investment 6 $100 -50% $50
Early-Stage Investment 7 $100 -25% $75
Early-Stage Investment 8 $100 -25% $75
Early-Stage Investment 9 $100 -25% $75
Early-Stage Investment 10 $100 1,000% $1,100
Total $1,000 48% $1,475

So the key is finding trades with a great deal of upside and letting them run. These home runs will more than make up for the groundouts.

And as you can see in the chart below, the average VC fund has crushed the returns of public markets over the long term using this strategy…

The big “exits” (when VC investors sell their investments) add up to big-time outperformance over time.

So VC investing is the perfect way to swing for the fences for investors craving outsized returns.

There’s just one giant problem… Most people can’t invest with VC firms.

Their funds are restricted for “accredited” investors and large institutions. In other words, if you don’t have at least $1 million in net worth, you’re out of luck.

But our goal at Palm Beach Daily is to level the playing field between Wall Street and Main Street…


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Main Street’s Loophole

According to McKinsey & Company, private markets have over $5 trillion in assets under management.

And for years, the financial elite have walled off access to this secret playground from mom-and-pop investors like you. That’s because Wall Street wants to keep this pile of money for itself.

And over time, a Bank of America Merrill Lynch report predicts this “can limit [retail] investor returns and retirement savings.”

However, Daily editor Teeka Tiwari has been traveling North America for three months to find a way for Main Street to tap into this $5 trillion pool…

And he’s uncovered a “sweetheart deal” market that can make you 40 times your money. It’s a legal loophole allowing non-accredited investors to access private markets.

Here’s Teeka:

It’s a “loophole” I’ve used to see gains as much as $1.6 million on just a $1,000 investment.

To be clear, this isn’t about cryptos, commodities, currency trading, or even options. In fact, you’ve probably never heard of it before. Wall Street has no incentive to share it with you.


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TEEKA TIWARI REVEALS…

A fascinating new way to make money. Here are some facts…

  • It’s responsible for the fortunes of many billionaires on the Forbes 400 list.
  • The AVERAGE investor pockets an extraordinary 57X in just under a decade using it.
  • Until Teeka’s reveal last night, Wall Street had essentially walled Main Street off from this investment.

PLUS, Teeka has watched a personal investment of $1k turn into up to $1.6 million


Now, we can’t reveal too many details about this venture because it’s limited. But you can learn more about it right here

And in the meantime, if you want to invest like venture capitalists, look for micro-cap companies with lots of growth potential and those working on real-world solutions. They’re the closest thing to early-stage private companies.

Since micro-caps are publicly traded, you can invest in them. But be sure to spread your investment dollars in a basket of early-stage companies. And treat them like speculations. So don’t bet more than you can afford to lose.

Finally, be prepared to fail. Remember, you won’t achieve success on 100% of your “VC-like” investments. You probably won’t win 75%—or even 50%—of the time, either.

But one major winner will more than make up for all the losers.

Editor’s note: On Wednesday night, Teeka revealed his most powerful wealth-building secret. As mentioned, it’s one he’s used to see a small, $1,000 investment turn into as much as $1.6 million.

This “sweetheart deal” has the potential to return 10 times or more. And it’s open to Main Street investors.

You won’t want to miss it. So watch the replay of Teeka’s exclusive event right here.