Whitney Tilson’s No. 1 Recovery Stock Recommendation

Whitney Tilson just revealed the name of his No. 1 Recovery Stock – a company he believes will skyrocket in the coming months. It’s part of a short list of stocks he predicts will deliver the highest returns as the overall market recovers. He has never spoken about this company publicly before, but you can still get the name and ticker right here…

By Dr. David Eifrig, editor, Retirement Millionaire


Today, you may find yourself applying a lot of guesswork to your investments…

No one knows how the recovery in stocks and the economy will play out. But we can still make a reasonable decision about what to do next… based on the information we do have.

In short, right now, we need to buy high-quality businesses.

If you roll your eyes at this “deep” insight, we don’t blame you… Of course, we don’t want to own bad businesses. But it’s not always the obvious choice.

For one thing, plenty of people make serious money as deep value investors. They find companies priced for death and earn profits when they limp along.

For another, buying speculative assets dirt-cheap has a lot of appeal right now. When fears subside, those risky assets tend to rally the fastest. That makes this an attractive way to invest – if you could time the bottom perfectly.

However, if you define quality specifically – not as a soft, vague description like “good businesses with strong profits,” but as an actual number you can look up – we can prove that buying quality does indeed work.

Today, quality stocks will earn us fair enough returns if the market rises… And they’ll hold their value better than other risky assets if the decline worsens.

We simply need a way to measure this idea. Let me explain…


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In many ways, “value investing” is the opposite of “quality investing.” But the most famous value investor in the world understands that quality comes first. As Warren Buffett wrote in his 2012 annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders…

More than 50 years ago, Charlie [Munger – Buffett’s longtime partner] told me it was far better to buy a wonderful business at a fair price than to buy a fair business at a wonderful price.

Despite the compelling logic of his position, I have sometimes reverted to my old habit of bargain-hunting, with results ranging from tolerable to terrible.

In the markets, you get what you pay for. Quality businesses tend to trade for higher prices. Markets are not perfectly efficient – but you generally pay more for a profitable business than you do for an unprofitable one.

Which wins out? Over the long term, does quality justify its higher price?


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If you make rules for defining quality, you can then test the candidates. Measurements of quality differ, so we’ll start with a simple one…

University of Rochester business professor Robert Novy-Marx proposes “gross profitability” as a way to measure quality. It’s simply gross profits (revenue minus cost of goods) divided by the assets of a firm.

His research finds that a portfolio that buys the highest gross-profitability stocks while shorting the lowest will earn an annual return 2.7% above the market. (That’s a significant difference in financial markets.)

Gross profit is an easy, simple-to-find number. It normally appears as the third entry on the income statement. You can check it in a few seconds… making it a great number for everyday investors to rely on.

You can also look up (or calculate) a company’s F-Score, proposed by Stanford accounting professor Joseph Piotroski.

The F-Score includes nine tests. The company gets a point for every test it passes… So companies with a score of nine have perfect quality. You can find the F-Score test formulas online, but put in plain English, these are what they determine:

  • Is return on assets positive?
  • Is operating cash flow positive?
  • Did return on assets improve in the last year?
  • Is cash flow production better than earnings?
  • Did leverage decrease in the past year?
  • Did the current ratio of assets to liabilities improve in the past year (i.e., is there more cash on hand)?
  • Did the company refrain from issuing shares?
  • Did gross margin rise in the past year?
  • Did asset turnover rise in the last year?

Asking these questions can help you beat the market. From 1974 through 2014, an F-Score portfolio returned 12.6% compared with 11.2% for the S&P 500… And it had lower volatility.

Finally, billionaire quantitative investor Cliff Asness tested the same concept in a paper called “Quality Minus Junk.” The paper uses a more complicated measure of quality, making it hard to replicate. But it proves the strength of this idea.

Looking at the ongoing returns for the “Quality Minus Junk” measure, we can see the difference in performance between quality and the S&P 500…

Quality has seen huge outperformance over the past 20 years. And for what it’s worth, while stocks as a whole fell 8% in February (according to Asness’ firm), the quality portfolio fell only 0.74%.

This proves one thing… Quality works. You should “buy wonderful companies at a fair price, rather than fair companies at a wonderful price.”

You can use this for a broad portfolio approach – perhaps with something like the iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor Fund (QUAL). But you can also use this insight to find individual stocks of the highest quality.

We don’t know if the collapse we saw in March is over. I have thoughts (I tend to think we haven’t seen the bottom yet), but we can’t know for sure.

If the market remains strong from here, we want to start buying things on the cheap. But if we reach for the high-risk, high-return “junk” today, we could get burned.

That’s why “buying quality” is the perfect plan for this moment. The reason is simple… It works.


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Stocks have surged higher since the crash in March. Investors who buy the right stocks – at the right time – could position themselves for big gains. That’s why last night, we hosted an online event to share how to get back into the market… as safely as possible. We even gave away the name of the top stock you should buy right now – one that could absolutely soar as the financial markets recover.

Click here for the details.

Is it Possible To Predict “Black Swan” Events? | Recovery Investing Event: Whitney Tilson’s COVID-19 Market Strategy Event

True “black swan” events are impossible to predict. But a small group of readers did get a surprising warning signal – giving them a chance to get out weeks before stocks crashed. And this same way of timing the markets could help you determine the exact moment to buy back into all your favorite stocks

By Austin Root, portfolio manager, Stansberry Portfolio Solutions


Beware the phrase, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”

I bet you’ve read or heard this quote (generally attributed to Mark Twain) many times in recent weeks. Be prepared to hear it even more in the weeks to come.

When people cite this quote, they tend to draw upon historical data points for context about what’s going on in the current market and – if they’re bold enough – use these previous outcomes to predict where things will go in the future.

These types of predictions can be comforting. After all, if “we’ve seen this movie before,” we know how it ends. But there’s a problem with that framework…

The current situation in America has no precedent.

This calls for a uniquely careful investing approach, as I’ll show today. We’re in completely new territory. So we need to be cautious… and not assume we know what will happen next.


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Why is this moment in history so unprecedented? Well, of course, it all starts with a new strain of coronavirus for which we have no vaccines or proven treatments.

This virus is easily transmitted by infected people when they are not showing any symptoms. And that means the outbreak is particularly difficult to contain and difficult to accurately measure, in terms of how far and fast it’s spreading.

So the “disease” is the start of this chaos. But what’s truly unprecedented is the “cure”…

Never before has economic activity been deliberately halted on such a massive scale.

With no conventional way to contain the virus, governments around the globe have resorted to unconventional ones – like nationwide lockdowns.

The data already suggest that social-distancing mandates in the U.S. are successfully slowing the virus’s spread. But we’ve also seen the dreadful effect the “cure” is having on the economy.

Every Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor releases data on new jobless claims. The former all-time record for weekly jobless claims was 700,000, set in 1982. That record was shattered in March when 3.3 million Americans filed for unemployment.

The following week’s data more than doubled that number to more than 6.6 million newly jobless. And we’re now quickly approaching 40 million Americans who have lost their jobs… more than 20% of our nation’s workforce.

Brace yourself for future data points to get even worse. In some industries – like travel, energy, hospitality, and retail – they already have. And scores of economists now predict gross domestic product (“GDP”) in the second quarter will drop by an unheard-of 25% or more.

The upshot is that our government recognizes the economic pain its mandated shutdowns are causing. And the response has been more monetary and fiscal stimulus efforts in two weeks than in the entire span of the Great Recession. Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and Congress have promised they’ll do plenty more if necessary.

But these governmental measures – and this lightning-quick shift from trying to promote prosperity to trying to prevent economic disaster – only add to the “never before have we seen this” environment.

This is truly unprecedented. Anyone who tells you they know – without doubt – what will happen next is overly confident, pushing their own agenda, or simply misinformed.


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We have not seen this movie before, and we don’t know what is going to happen next. So with that in mind, I want to urge you to do two things…

First, until we see definitive and sustained improvements in coronavirus (“COVID-19”) data or price trends in the market – or both – err on the side of caution.

We do think there are good investments to buy now, especially among world-class buy-and-hold assets trading at discount prices. But by and large, now is a good time to hold a lot of cash.

You can also manage your risk on new positions with careful position sizing. This simply means putting the right amount of money into your investments relative to your total portfolio size.

Losing $5,000 in a $25,000 portfolio would be devastating. It would cost you one-fifth of your savings. But a $5,000 loss in a $250,000 portfolio would only be 2%. So make sure you know how much you’re willing to risk on any individual position.

If markets push higher from here and don’t look back, the results of playing it safe will almost certainly trail those of someone who’s 100% invested today. But it all comes back to one thing… We’ve never experienced a market like this before.

So hold cash, and control your risk. In a market without precedent, taking the prudent road now will help you prosper over the long term.


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True “black swan” events are impossible to predict. But a small group of readers did get a surprising warning signal… giving them a chance to get out weeks before stocks crashed. And this same way of timing the markets could help you determine the exact moment to buy back into all your favorite stocks. To learn more, join Whitney Tilson’s Recovery Investing Event online tomorrow night at 8 p.m. Eastern time – you can sign up for free right here.

Recovery Investing Event featuring Whitney Tilson is May 28, 2020

Recovery Investing Event with former hedge fund manager and investing legend Whitney Tilson is taking place on Thursday, May 28 at 8 PM ET where a new trading system about how to rebuild your wealth will be released into action.

Recovery Investing Event by Whitney Tilson is an online event scheduled for Thursday, May 28th at 8pm EST.

The event is hosted by former hedge fund manager and investing legend Whitney Tilson, who has nailed the timing of the biggest financial events of the past 20 years:

  • The dot-com crash
  • The housing bust
  • The bottom of stocks in 2008.
  • And most recently, the bottom in stocks on March 23, 2020

You can attend Recovery Investing Event for free.

Is it worth attending Recovery Investing Event? What will you learn during the event? Let’s find out.


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What is Recovery Investing Event?

Recovery Investing Event is an online event where former hedge fund manager and investing legend Whitney Tilson is going to show you a way of timing the markets that is SO precise…It would have alerted you to sell your stocks weeks before the crash. It’s a unique system that has helped more than 50,000 real investors determine the perfect time to buy or sell ANY stock in the market. Investors who use this system have a massive advantage.

That’s why Whitney Tilson is hosting this special event.

On May 28, he will show you how to get back into the market in the safest way possible. And if you’ve already started buying stocks, you’ll learn how to protect your profits as the economy starts to recover.

The event is 100% free, but you must register in advance


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What Will You Learn During the Recovery Investing Event?

Just for signing up, you’ll immediately receive a copy of a brand-new report: “5 Ticking Time Bombs in Your Portfolio.”  This new report exposes five stocks that could not only take another plunge in the coming months – but fail to survive altogether. It’s possible that one or more of these stocks is still in your portfolio right now. These companies frequently lurk in ETFs and mutual funds, too, so we strongly encourage you to review this report right away.

“5 Ticking Time Bombs In Your Portfolio” is 100% free. You’ll receive it via e-mail immediately when you sign up below.

If you lost money in March, and want to recoup your losses as safely as possible…

If you’ve bought a few stocks recently, and want to confirm you made the right choices…

Or if you simply want to know where stocks are headed next – so you’re NEVER blindsided again… you must attend this FREE Recovery Investing Event.

You’ll walk away from Recovery Investing Event knowing:

  • Where stocks are headed next. Will the stock market continue to recover? Or will we soon see another crash?
  • The exact day to buy back into the world’s most popular stocks. You’ll learn a strategy for determining the perfect time to reenter your favorite stocks.
  • And what to buy right now. Including a stock that could soar as the financial markets recover. You’ll get the name and ticker symbol, absolutely free.

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Is Whitney Tilson’s Recovery Investing Event Free?

The Recovery Investing Event is free to attend. You just enter your email address into the online form, and you’ll receive a link to the webinar before May 28.

Then, you can go ahead and sign up for their free VIP text reminder service. To prevent you from accidentally missing the event, they ’ll send you brief text message reminders right before they go live on May 28.

When you become a VIP, you’ll receive instant access to an exclusive special report: This Embattled Stock is a Potential Nine-Bagger in Waiting

In this new report, you’ll find the name and ticker symbol of a hated stock that Whitney believes could soar triple or quadruple digits over the next few years.

He says, “The last time the setup was this good, I made 17 times my money.” This report contains information about the federal government that you likely won’t hear about in the mainstream media…

Including excerpts from an exclusive interview with one of the few experts on this unique type of investment.


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Who Is Whitney Tilson?

Empire Financial Research founder and CEO Whitney Tilson is the editor of the Empire Investment Report, a monthly investment advisory that focuses on cheap, high-quality stock ideas.

Whitney graduated with honors from Harvard University and Harvard Business School, where he earned an MBA and was named a Baker Scholar. Whitney spent nearly 20 years on Wall Street, during which time he founded and ran Kase Capital Management, growing assets under management from $1 million at inception to a peak of $200 million.

Once dubbed “The Prophet” by CNBC, Whitney predicted the dot-com crash, the housing bust, the 2009 stock bottom, and more. Now, he’s sharing his secrets and strategies with followers of his latest endeavor, Empire Financial Research.

FAQ About Recovery Investing Event

Here is a quick recap summary about Recovery Investing Event by Whitney Tilson:

Q: What is Recovery Investing Event by Whitney Tilson?

A: The world premiere of the Recovery Investing Event, a one-night-only broadcast, featuring investing legend Whitney Tilson and a surprise guest. They'll give you clear, direct answers to your biggest questions: when to buy, what to buy, and where the markets are going from here. There is no other event in the world that can promise the actionable guidance you'll get on May 28 - specifically a system of timing the markets that is so precise, it actually predicted the crash back in February.

Q: Who is involved in the Recovery Investing Event?

A: Featuring Special Guest: Whitney Tilson: Whitney Tilson is the founder and CEO of Empire Financial Research. He spent over 20 years on Wall Street, where he founded and ran a hedge fund that he started in his bedroom with just $1 million and grew the firm to nearly $200 million. A regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business Network, Whitney has been profiled by the Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Forbes, and more. He's accurately predicted some of the biggest financial events in history, including the dot-com crash in 2008, the housing crisis in 2008, the collapse of bitcoin in 2018, and most recently - the bottom in stocks on March 23, 2020. Mystery Guest: Whitney Tilson isn't the only expert you'll hear from on Thursday, May 28. You're also going to meet a surprise mystery guest who has NEVER been part of an event like this before. He's never worked at a hedge fund or traded under any professional investors. But he's taking the mic on May 28 to share a story unlike anything you've heard from us before. While the rest of the world was panicking back in March, he was perfectly calm. Why? Because he sold most of his stocks and was almost 100% in cash by February 28, 2020. Stocks began to crash a week later... and plummeted more than 30% by March 23. He is one of only 3,719 investors who knew the crash was coming. And on May 28, he's stepping forward to explain exactly how he knew to sell... And the major market shift he's preparing for next.

Q: When is Recovery Investing Event?

A: Recovery Investing Event with former hedge fund manager and investing legend Whitney Tilson is taking place on Thursday, May 28 at 8 PM ET

Q: Where you can watch the Recovery Investing Event?

A: Investors can watch the Recovery Investing Event on a special website. They will receive the address after they finish their free registration

Q: What are the attendee bonuses?

A: Attendees will receive a special report with the exact time to buy back into 10 of the most widely held stocks in the world. Attendees will receive the name and ticker symbol of Whitney Tilson's No. 1 Recovery Stock.


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Final Word

To help you prepare for the big night, Whitney Tilson’s team have created a private website specifically for event attendees.

There you’ll find valuable research and resources to help you hit the ground running when they go live on May 28.

This includes…

  • A primer on the unique system you’ll learn during the event, including Case Studies from real investor portfolios.
  • Video messages from Dan Ferris, Dave Lashmet, and more about why May 28 holds the key to rebuilding and growing your wealth this year.
  • A daily series from legendary investor, Whitney Tilson. Every day leading up to the event, he’ll reveal a specific indicator he’s using to track the Stock Market Recovery.
  • Stories from real investors who have used this system and seen extraordinary results. (One investor, Theodore G., told us “This has profoundly changed the way I invest.”)
  • And your free report: 5 Ticking Time Bombs in Your Portfolio. This report outlines five stocks that could take another plunge in the coming months. Not only could these stocks be in your portfolio right now, but they also frequently lurk in ETFs and mutual funds.

Click here to watch Whitney Tilson’s Recovery Investing Event