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This ‘Law’ Is Setting the Stage for Outsized Returns

By Matt McCall, editor,  Early Stage Investor


Think of the extraordinary change someone born in 1900 could have seen over a long life.

As a child, they would have seen horses in city streets… and would have grown up to see those streets full of cars.

They would have seen the invention of the radio… the airplane… the fax machine… air conditioning… personal computers… and so much more.

I believe those of us who live the next 30 years will see a similar set of changes.

We’ll see the world change more rapidly than any other group of people in history.

The way we work, play, travel, bank, receive health care, and entertain ourselves will look completely different.

Large new industries will be created at a pace we’ve never seen before.

These new industries will demolish old industries at an unprecedented pace. And it’s all thanks to “The Law of Accelerating Returns.”

If you’re on the right side of this law, and you invest in the right stocks now, you could make multiple times your money… and set yourself up for a comfortable retirement.

Here’s how it works…


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This Bull Market Mistake Could Cost You Thousands in 2020

Wall Street GuyThe man who predicted today’s massive bull market all the way back in 2009 has a new warning…

He says investors are making a common mistake right now that could end up costing them thousands of dollars.

You don’t want to fall into this trap.

Click here for more.


This idea comes from Ray Kurzweil, an American inventor and futurist. About 20 years ago, he began writing about the idea that the rate of change tends to accelerate in systems that evolve over time… like technology.

This is called accelerating returns – or “exponential progress.” And it differs from conventional progress in a massive way.

You see, conventional progress – the kind of advancement ingrained in the minds of most people – is like going for a walk. You take one step, you advance one step. After taking 10 steps, you are 10 steps away from where you started. Pretty simple, right?

Well, exponential progress – the kind that’s taking place in technology labs and businesses right now – radically changes the equation… And it radically accelerates the pace of change we see in the world.

That’s because exponential progress multiplies in power and scope with each step.

It’s critical for investors to understand this if they want to position their 2020 portfolios for outsized returns.

Exponential progress “snowballs” and builds on itself. It ensures that each new step is larger than the one before. Specifically, the progress made in one step is double the amount of progress made in the step that came before it.

For example, if you make exponential progress while taking a walk, you take one step. Now double that… and your second step is the equivalent of two regular steps.

Now double that again… and your third step is the equivalent of four regular steps. Your fourth step is the equivalent of eight regular steps, and so on.

By the time you get to the 10th step, your step is the equivalent of 512 steps!

And by the time you get to the 20th step, your step is the equivalent of 524,288 steps!

Walking doesn’t work that way, of course. But knowing the difference between linear growth and exponential growth instantly sets you apart from your fellow investors and gives you a huge advantage over them. It can set you up for huge outperformance over the coming years.

When a small number grows at an exponential rate, the first stages of growth aren’t incredible. The extraordinary growth happens at an “inflection point” in time… when the exponential growth begins to snowball at stunning rates.

This rapid development has stunning business and investment ramifications. The world around us is changing at never-seen-before speeds… And it’s catching many people off-guard.

For example, over the last few decades, it took an average of roughly 20 years for the typical Fortune 500 company to reach a market capitalization of $1 billion.

Founded in 1998, the company known as Google – now Alphabet (GOOGL) – reached a $1 billion market cap after just eight years, which was considered incredible.

By 2004, Facebook (FB) arrived on the scene… and hit $1 billion in just five years.

By 2009, Uber (UBER) emerged… and did it in under three years.

In 2012, virtual-reality firm Oculus was formed… and did it in less than two years.

As you can see, it’s taking less and less time to generate incredible wealth. And investors are enjoying the benefits.

Incredible industry shifts used to take 20 years or more to play out. Now, they are playing out in less than five years.

The stage is set for carefully selected, high-quality stocks to go up 300%, 500%, and even 1,000% over the next couple of years.


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Former Hedge Fund Manager: “Get out of Cash on this day in Feb”

February 12th, 2020 could kick off the most profitable year we’ve seen in the last two decades in the stock market. But only if you put your money into a short list of stocks – immediately.

If think you’ve missed out on the biggest gains this bull market has to offer, click here to for everything you need to get ready for February 12th.


Editor’s note: This bull market is hitting its most “supercharged” phase yet… where select small, innovative stocks could help turn some investors into millionaires. That’s why Matt McCall is joining Stansberry Research tomorrow night at 8 p.m. Eastern time. He and Steve Sjuggerud will discuss what 2020 holds for the Melt Up – and which stock you MUST be positioned in today. You can watch it all online for free…

Click here for the details.

Coronavirus Won’t Stop the Melt Up

By Vic Lederman, analyst, True Wealth


Let’s get this out of the way…

I’m not a doctor. I don’t study the spread of pathogens. And for the most part, I work with the same data everyone else does.

I’m also human. And that means that my first reaction to the news of coronavirus was probably a lot like yours… emotional.

Aside from wondering how to protect myself and my family, some of those thoughts were related to the markets.

“Could this be what finally pushes us into recession?” I questioned. “Will this cause the end of the Melt Up?”

These are normal concerns. And when news of the virus first broke… nobody had informed answers to these questions.

China, and the rest of the world, were just trying to figure out the basics. But today, our position is different.

We know a lot more about what we’re dealing with. We even have data to help us answer those questions.

But let me spoil today’s essay up front… Coronavirus isn’t going to stop the Melt Up.


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Former Hedge Fund Manager: “Get out of Cash on this day in Feb”

February 12th, 2020 could kick off the most profitable year we’ve seen in the last two decades in the stock market. But only if you put your money into a short list of stocks – immediately.

If think you’ve missed out on the biggest gains this bull market has to offer, click here to for everything you need to get ready for February 12th.


Now as I already mentioned, I’m not a doctor. So, when it comes to protecting yourself or your family, listen to the experts, not me.

That said, when it comes to protecting your finances, I think I can help. And that’s why I’m writing to you today.

The problem is, headlines are persuasive. They encourage you to act on emotion rather than data.

I’m sure that some investors panicked out of the market as soon as the news broke. I hope that wasn’t you – because it would have been quite the mistake. Take a look…

Coronavirus first popped up in early December. And in fairness, it didn’t enter the global spotlight until mid-January.

At that point, fear did cause a few bad days in the markets. But look what has happened since… We’ve already stormed back to new highs.

Yes, we’re likely nearing the end of one of the greatest bull markets America has experienced. And fear – at least fear of coronavirus – hasn’t put a stop to it yet.

This is exactly the kind of behavior you expect to see in a Melt Up scenario. The Nasdaq is making new highs. Even in the midst of an epidemic, investors are eagerly buying innovative tech stocks – the kind that tend to soar in the final months of a great bull market.

So, is the coronavirus the end of the Melt Up? Right now, the data says no. The market has digested the news on coronavirus… And it’s still moving higher.

It’s not just tech stocks, either. The S&P 500 is making new highs too.

Is it possible this could take a dramatic turn for the worse? Sure. In finance-speak, we call that “tail risk”… a surprise event that could cause major losses in the markets. But unless you have the gift of foresight, planning your life around those events is a losing strategy.

For those of us not hiding out in bunkers, the answer is clear.

Stocks are still headed up. And we want to ride as much of the Melt Up as we can.

You don’t want to be on the sidelines as the market pushes to new heights. So, don’t let your emotional reactions to headlines dictate your investing.

As investors, we should strive to make the best decisions using the best data available. And right now, the best data we have is telling us the Melt Up isn’t over. Stay long.

For the first time, we’re starting to see it… It’s the final stage of the Melt Up. Sit this one out, and you’ll likely miss out on the biggest gains of this 11-year bull market.


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Will You Be Left Behind?


That’s why on February 12, we’re getting you ready for the next phase of the rally – with a must-see online event. My boss Steve Sjuggerud will sit down with legendary stock-picker Matt McCall to reveal just how much higher this market could go… and a new way to take advantage of it.

You can watch it all for free – plus, you’ll learn which stock Steve believes will soar 500% before the end of the Melt Up. Get the details right here.

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud: Don’t Miss the Best Days of the Melt Up

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud


I worry you are making a huge mistake with your money…

What are you waiting for?

If you’re not taking advantage of this bull market yet, that’s my big question for you…

If you are nervous about the stock market, then you’re not alone. Several investors I’ve talked to over the course of the rally were “waiting for a dip to get in at a better price.”

Then, when we got a dip, those same folks would get even more scared of the markets.

Now, we’ve been hitting new highs again. So let me ask you… are you nervous? Are you back to waiting for the next big crash before you put money to work?

This is a huge mistake.

Let me explain…


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Former Hedge Fund Manager: “Get out of Cash on this day in Feb”

February 12th, 2020 could kick off the most profitable year we’ve seen in the last two decades in the stock market. But only if you put your money into a short list of stocks – immediately.

If think you’ve missed out on the biggest gains this bull market has to offer, click here to for everything you need to get ready for February 12th.


You probably know by now that I think a stock market Melt Up is just around the corner – where stocks make one final, dramatic push higher before a furious peak.

But the folks I have talked to are either trying to time it… or planning to sit on the sidelines.

My friend, trying to time when the Melt Up takes off could cause you to miss out on triple-digit gains.

You don’t want to wait until stocks start soaring… and THEN decide to get in.

Melt Ups are big and fast… The tech-heavy Nasdaq index alone delivered triple-digit gains in the final 12 months of the last great Melt Up.

Sitting on the sidelines and missing out on even a few big days during that time could’ve been deadly to your returns.

I’m telling you, don’t try to outsmart the Melt Up!

If you’re waiting on the sidelines for a buying opportunity, chances are, you’ll miss the good days. And as you probably know, you REALLY don’t want to miss out on the good days in the markets…

For example, if you had $10,000 in the S&P 500 Index over the past 20 years… but you happened to miss the best 40 days of market gains… you’d only be left with around $7,600.

If you kept your money invested the entire time, however, you’d have close to $30,000.

That’s right… Just 40 days meant the difference between losing $2,000 and making $20,000!

These results come from the investment-management company Index Fund Advisors. And you can see clearly what this means for your money today.

The table below shows what missing the best days of the market would have done to your returns over the 20-year period from the start of 1999 to the end of 2018…

The lesson is simple. Missing out on just a few big moves higher could mean not only missing triple-digit gains, but actually losing money.

And remember, this doesn’t include last year’s outstanding results. The S&P 500 Index as a whole soared 30% in 2019. You really didn’t want to miss the best days of that rally.

So if you’re still waiting for a chance to buy… or if you’re afraid to buy stocks at all… I don’t want you to miss out on what’s next.

This will likely be the last Melt Up opportunity for many people in their lifetimes. And certain stocks could return triple digits as the market moves higher.

People are always looking for a reason NOT to buy. Trust me, you can always find something.

There will be a time to be cautious. But that time is after the Melt Up.

We are not there yet. So again, I urge you – “make hay while the sun is shining”…


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Let me tell you something else… I’m about to host a major online event on February 12, where I’ll share a HUGE change to my Melt Up prediction. You’ll find out how to take advantage of what’s happening in a totally new way… with much greater upside than I’ve ever shared before.

I’m even giving away the name of a stock that I believe will soar up to 500% in the months ahead. But to hear it, you must tune in on February 12 at 8 p.m., Eastern time.

I hope you’ll join me… because you need to take full advantage of this moment. Sign up for free right here.

This Method Beats the Market

By Grant Wasylik, analyst, Palm Beach Daily

There’s a simple strategy you can use to beat the market by nearly 4% per year – year in and year out.

You’ll need a strong stomach for it…

But if you’re willing to be a contrarian, I’ll show you how to take advantage of it to boost your portfolio’s returns.

Remember, in yesterday’s essayI showed you a simple way to beat the market with the “bridesmaid” strategy.

Today, I have another one for you. It also comes courtesy of The Leuthold Group.

If you haven’t heard of The Leuthold Group, it’s one of the top financial institutional research firms in the world. (You can learn more about Leuthold here.)

Now, with the bridesmaid strategy, you buy the second-best performing asset class of the previous year. It’s a momentum approach that’s returned an annualized 14.8% over the last 47 years. In comparison, the S&P 500 only returned an annualized 10.5%.

The bridesmaid strategy can also work by sector. But today’s strict value approach can work even better. It’s just as easy – and profitable. And it all has to do with sector rotation…


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One of the top news anchors in America just went on-camera to expose a huge story. When word spreads about what she’s uncovered — it could trigger an equally huge move in the stock market.

If you haven’t seen her interview… which details a sector of the market that could soar 37x in the months ahead, click this link to watch it now.

Click here to watch it


Go Low or Go Home

With this strategy, you buy the S&P 500 sector with the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the previous year. Basically, it’s bargain-hunting for profits.

Now, it might be difficult for some investors to buy the cheapest sector in the market. It’s usually the most-hated one as well.

But if you can stomach going against the crowd, the returns are worth it…

Leuthold studied 10 of the S&P 500’s sectors back to 1991. The lowest-performing sector returned an annualized 14.1% over those 29 years. In contrast, the S&P 500 returned an annualized 10.4% during the same period…

As you can see in the chart above, the sector with the lowest P/E ratio outperformed by the greatest margin.

So if you’d followed this approach, you would’ve outperformed the market by an average of 3.7% per year.


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Tech insiders are holding their breath for what’s about to be revealed

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… And it has the potential to make early adopters as much as $1,000,000.

It’s all happening with the return of the world’s #1 tech futurist George Gilder.

Click Here, and you’ll learn how to get all of George’s best ideas.


Although it’s not foolproof, it sports a solid win rate. This “cheapest sector” strategy has bested the S&P 500’s returns in 18 of the last 29 years – 62% of the time.

It’s that simple.

Now, as Leuthold points out:

The strategy rewards only those bold enough to buy the absolute lowest P/E ratio. Sectors with the seventh-, eighth-, or ninth-ranked P/E ratios have all been long-term underperformers. Go low or go home!

So you must be willing to be a contrarian all the way.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at which sector had the lowest P/E ratio in 2019. It’ll be our best bet in 2020…


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From the Bottom to the Top

The table below ranks 10 of the S&P 500’s sectors by their December 2019 P/E ratios from highest to lowest. As you can see, financials ranked at the bottom…

Sector

December 2019 P/E Ratio

Health Care

28.9

Information Technology

27.9

Utilities

22.5

Materials

22.3

Industrials

22.1

Consumer Discretionary

20.5

Consumer Staples

20.5

Communication Services

17.5

Energy

16.2

Financials

14.0

(Note: Leuthold uses median trailing P/E ratios. And it excludes “real estate,” since it treats real estate investment trusts [REITs] as a separate asset class.)

So if you want exposure to financials, consider an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

You can use the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) or the Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) for 2020. They’re the top two ETFs based on assets in the sector. And they have super-low expense ratios of 0.13% and 0.10%, respectively.

Be sure to remember this “cheapest sector” strategy when you’re rebalancing your portfolio at the beginning of each year.

And keep a contrarian mindset to buy the cheapest sector.

Why You Want to Own the “Bridesmaids” of Asset Classes

By Grant Wasylik, analyst, Palm Beach Daily

Legendary NASCAR driver Dale Earnhardt Sr. once said, “Second place is just the first-place loser.”

But what if probability showed that finishing in second place… would make him the statistical favorite to win the next race?

He might’ve changed his tune.

Well, in the stock market, second place is the odds-on favorite for next year’s first place when it comes to asset classes.

In fact, asset allocators would’ve been handsomely rewarded by following one simple strategy over the last 47 years.

It really couldn’t be much easier to follow… So in today’s issue, I’ll tell you what it is – and more importantly, why you should implement it in the coming days.


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This Bull Market Mistake Could Cost You Thousands in 2020

Wall Street GuyThe man who predicted today’s massive bull market all the way back in 2009 has a new warning…

He says investors are making a common mistake right now that could end up costing them thousands of dollars.

You don’t want to fall into this trap.

Click here for more.


The Bridesmaid Strategy

It’s called the “bridesmaid” strategy. My colleagues at The Leuthold Group developed the method.

If you haven’t heard of The Leuthold Group, it’s one of the top financial institutional research firms in the world. (You can learn more about Leuthold here.)

Now, it’s crunched the numbers by measuring the performance of seven asset classes since 1973:

  • Large-cap stocks (S&P 500)
  • Small-cap stocks (Russell 2000)
  • Foreign stocks (MSCI EAFE Index)
  • Real estate (FTSE Nareit Composite REIT Index)
  • Commodities (S&P GSCI)
  • Gold
  • U.S. Treasuries (U.S. 10-year Treasury Bonds)

And according to its research, the previous year’s runner-up generally outperforms the other six the next year.


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Former Hedge Fund Manager: “Get out of Cash on this day in Feb”

February 12th, 2020 could kick off the most profitable year we’ve seen in the last two decades in the stock market. But only if you put your money into a short list of stocks – immediately.

If think you’ve missed out on the biggest gains this bull market has to offer, click here to for everything you need to get ready for February 12th.


Here’s how the approach works…

You start with these seven major asset classes. And you observe each one’s returns from the prior year. Then, you buy the second-best performer (the “bridesmaid”) and hold it over the next 12 months.

And as you can see in the chart below, picking the “bridesmaid” hands you the highest return over the long haul…

This bridesmaid strategy has returned an annualized 14.8% over the last 47 years. In comparison, the S&P 500 has only returned an annualized 10.5% during the same timeframe.

Now, this momentum approach isn’t foolproof…

For example, gold finished second in 2018, making it the 2019 bridesmaid. Yet gold finished in sixth place last year. But on the bright side, gold was still up nearly 19% in 2019 – its best performance since 2010.

Remember, the long-term results matter most. And it’s hard to find active fund managers who beat their benchmarks in the long term.

In fact, S&P Dow Jones Indices reports that only 12% of all domestic funds beat the U.S. stock market over the last 15 years.

But the bridesmaid strategy has eclipsed the S&P 500’s returns in 31 of the last 47 years – for an impressive 66% win rate.

So let’s take a look at what history says is the best bet for 2020…


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Judge Pirro’s Latest Interview Is Going VIRAL

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One of the top news anchors in America just went on-camera to expose a huge story. When word spreads about what she’s uncovered — it could trigger an equally huge move in the stock market.

If you haven’t seen her interview… which details a sector of the market that could soar 37x in the months ahead, click this link to watch it now.

Click here to watch it


The Top Choice for 2020

According to 2019’s returns, this year’s bridesmaid is REITs (real estate investment trusts)…

Asset Class

2019 Return

Large Caps

31.5%

REITs

28.1%

Small Caps

25.5%

Foreign Stocks

22.7%

Commodities

17.6%

Gold

18.8%

10-Year U.S. T-Bonds

8.5%

Since REITs were the silver medalist in 2019, they’re the top choice for 2020. It’s that simple.

If you’d like to get some exposure to REITs, consider an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

You can use the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) or the Schwab U.S. REIT ETF (SCHH) for 2020. They’re the top two ETFs based on assets in the sector. And they have ultra-low expense ratios of 0.12% and 0.07%, respectively.

If you want to really benefit from this strategy, you need to act now. This is an annual rebalancing strategy. And we’re already in the second month of the year.

So if you want to implement the bridesmaid strategy, take a small position today and let it ride over the next 11 months. And be sure to keep this bridesmaid strategy in mind when you’re rebalancing your portfolio at the beginning of each year.

Here’s Why Lower Interest Rates Are Likely

By C. Scott Garliss, editor, Stansberry NewsWire


Casual investors might not pay much attention to the Federal Reserve.

A boring banking institution doesn’t seem important compared with what’s happening in actual markets.

Earnings reports and trade negotiations are more exciting to keep up with. But believe me, the Fed matters. And the moves it makes can determine the long-term trend in stocks.

The Fed makes most of its major moves by controlling interest rates. And while you might expect higher interest rates from here, the data says otherwise.

The more likely scenario is that the Fed will lower rates even further. And that could be a big boon for stocks.

Let me explain…


— RECOMMENDED —

Former Hedge Fund Manager: “Get out of Cash on this day in Feb”

February 12th, 2020 could kick off the most profitable year we’ve seen in the last two decades in the stock market. But only if you put your money into a short list of stocks – immediately.

If think you’ve missed out on the biggest gains this bull market has to offer, click here to for everything you need to get ready for February 12th.


If you want to know why lower rates are likely, look no further than inflation.

Domestic inflation remains well below the Fed’s 2% target. That’s according to the most recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (“PCE”) update. The core data rose 1.6%, in line with expectations and the previous reading.

We care about PCE because it’s the primary gauge that the central bank uses to measure inflation. And ever since the Fed established its 2% inflation target in 2012, inflation has remained stubbornly below the mark. Take a look…

As you can see, we are right at the long-term average today. And inflation has only been above the 2% mark twice in the past eight years.

This matters because interest rates are the Fed’s No. 1 tool for dealing with inflation. When inflation is rising, central banks raise rates to offset it. And when it falls, they can do the opposite and lower rates.

You might wonder how that works in the real world…

Well, rising inflation means the cost of goods and services is going up. Falling inflation means the opposite – it takes fewer dollars to purchase the same amount of goods. The way to offset this is by making the dollar weaker or stronger.

So, if the Fed raises interest rates, the U.S. dollar will be more sought after, and therefore more valuable versus other currencies. As rates rise, so do yields on sovereign bonds. So they become more attractive to investors too. All this means the dollar gets stronger, easing inflation.

A reverse scenario plays out when rates are cut. Investors exit the currency because yield is dropping. That drives down the value – or, in other words, a dollar buys you less than it used to.

Understanding this dynamic can help you read the tea leaves of inflation to figure out the Fed’s next move on rates.

Just last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) is worried about persistently low inflation. The committee wants to figure out how to get it moving higher. And it plans to pay close attention to the incoming data and respond accordingly.

Again, the most recent data tells us that inflation isn’t picking up. And that’s why the Fed is more likely to lower interest rates again rather than raise them.

At the end of the day, “easy money” central bank policy isn’t going anywhere soon. Whether that’s good or bad in the long term remains to be seen. But in the short term, low rates mean less competition for stocks – folks will keep putting money in the stock market for a chance at a higher yield.

That’s a big positive for investors. And it’s another reason I expect good times ahead for U.S. stocks.


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This Bull Market Mistake Could Cost You Thousands in 2020

Wall Street GuyThe man who predicted today’s massive bull market all the way back in 2009 has a new warning…

He says investors are making a common mistake right now that could end up costing them thousands of dollars.

You don’t want to fall into this trap.

Click here for more.


Editor’s note: On February 12, Steve is hosting a free online event to reveal a huge shift in his Melt Up thesis that could send the market skyrocketing. He’ll also explain the three clues to finding stocks with the biggest upside… Plus, you’ll learn which single investment he believes could soar as much as 500% in the months ahead.

Steve’s No. 1 stock won’t appear in any replay… So make sure you tune in on the night of the big event. Learn more about it here.

Stocks Are Cheaper Than Anyone Realizes

By C. Scott Garliss, editor, Stansberry NewsWire


Money managers aren’t so different from individual investors.

They’re always trying to figure out if stocks are expensive… or if they’ve discovered an imbalance in valuations ahead of everyone else.

After all, the name of the game on Wall Street is performance relative to expectations. You want to find the deals no one else sees. But as today’s market shows, it’s important to look at this in the right way.

Wall Street’s best are always trying to look at where the economy and the market are headed… not where they’ve been. Consequently, they’re looking at least six to eight months out.

Meanwhile, the financial media gets caught up in the “here and now.” That confuses individual investors, because it’s the opposite of how they should be thinking. And right now, it’s causing lots of folks to miss the opportunity in the market.

Let me explain…


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Will You Be Left Behind?


If we were to get caught up in the “here and now” thinking of the media, we’d look at the S&P 500 Index’s current valuations. The current multiple of 22.16 times earnings is worrisome. But it’s also a look in the rearview mirror.

If we look at the same index’s valuation from a forward 12-month perspective, like asset managers, we’d see it sits at 18.9 times earnings. (In other words, that’s what you get if you base it on the expected earnings over the next year.)

Now, some would argue that’s still expensive. But it’s much more reasonable than the current multiple. And if we look out two years, we’d see a 17.2 times multiple… while in three years, it’s just a 15.5 times multiple. Take a look…

This tells us that analysts expect earnings growth to pick from here. And based on those expectations, the market looks even cheaper than most realize.

The next question we have to ask is, are these future earnings estimates reasonable?

Based on what we know, they’re more than reasonable… They’re too low.

Coming into the last two quarters, Wall Street analysts lowered their earnings estimates. Heading into the third quarter of 2019, analysts were pessimistic again – they predicted a decline of 4.6%. (The actual figure came in at a drop of 2.3%.)

This past quarter was no different. At the beginning of the fourth quarter, Wall Street stock pickers started out expecting 2.5% earnings growth. Those expectations have since dropped to a decline of 1.9%. With all the negativity we’ve seen from analysts, the actual result may be closer to unchanged or slightly positive.

It’s easy to see why they became so cautious… A big driver was the perilous state of trade negotiations between the U.S. and China. No one knew what the costs would be or how the tariffs would affect consumer spending.


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Companies haven’t helped. Given the uncertainty around trade, they’ve been cautious about their business outlooks, too. They didn’t know if they would have to uproot their manufacturing processes and move them to other countries.

The safest bet for both corporate America and analysts everywhere was to expect the worst. Consequently, numbers more or less came down across the board. And as earnings numbers dropped, it pushed the valuation multiple of the S&P 500 Index and other indexes higher.

That’s why stocks are cheaper than anyone believes today. Estimates have come down based on problems that are now largely in the rearview mirror. Looking ahead, the picture is much brighter than folks expect.

The U.S. and China just signed the phase one trade deal, which should cause tension and uncertainty to ease. Companies now have a better handle on what their costs are going to look like.

As a result, the corporate guidance that was based on the worst-case scenario can change. And that should provide continued support for the S&P 500.

It’s one more reason why staying bullish is the right call today.


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Jason Bodner (Palm Beach Trader): The Market Sell-Off Is Here

By Jason Bodner, editor, Palm Beach Trader

Since the beginning of the year, we’ve seen relentless buying in the market. It hasn’t mattered which sector it is, either…

Tech, utilities, financials, real estate, consumer staples, telecom. You name it, and the big money has been buying. And it’s reflecting in the amount of big-money buying activity in exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

ETF trading activity is a major component of my stock-picking system (more on that in a moment). And year-to-date, my system has recorded relentless buying in the ETF world.

But now, cracks are starting to show – and that signals the market reset I predicted earlier this month is in the works.

The last three times my system pinpointed similar conditions – in February 2017, January 2018, and February 2019 – sell-offs occurred afterwards within days or weeks. The Russell 2000 dropped 3.1%, 9.8%, and 7.8%, respectively:

So today, I’ll tell you what the big money is doing – and how you should play it…


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Tracking the Big Money

To track big-money buying, I spent half a dozen years and hundreds of thousands of dollars to develop my “unbeatable” stock-picking system.

I used my experience from nearly two decades at prestigious Wall Street firms – trading more than $1 billion worth of stock for major clients – to make sure it’s highly accurate, comprehensive, and effective.

It scans nearly 5,500 stocks every day, using algorithms to rank each one for strength. It also looks for the movements of big-money investors. And when it sees them piling into or getting out of a stock, it raises a yellow flag.

I put these yellow flags through another filter. If the flag turns red, it means the big money is selling. If it turns green, it means the big money is buying…

It’s that simple: When I see green, the big money is buying.

But here’s the thing: My unbeatable system doesn’t just look at individual stocks. It can track big-money buying and selling in the broad market, too.

And right now, it’s still showing we’re in overbought territory…


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Buying Is Slowing Down

ETF buying is a good contrarian indicator. You see, retail (mom-and-pop) investors use ETFs to gain market exposure.

So when ETF buying is off the charts, buying has likely reached a peak – and is signaling it’s time to do the opposite. And after being scooped up like mad, my system is identifying decreasing ETF buying…

The one-year average for ETF buy signals is nine signals per day. But this past week, the system has recorded 17 signals per day. And over the past month, the average has been 20 signals per day.

Now, make no mistake, that’s still big buying activity in ETFs. Yet it also indicates we’re seeing a broader shift from buying to selling.

Take a look at the chart below. It shows my system’s ratio of big-money buying and selling…

When the ratio is at 80% (see the red line above) or more, it means buyers are in control and markets are overbought. And when it dips to 25% (the green line) or lower, sellers have taken the reins, leading the markets into oversold territory.

As you can see, each time the ratio has signaled overbought levels, it’s quickly fallen back within a few days or weeks. This means that the big money is selling again – causing the markets and prices to fall, too.


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And this is already starting to happen again. In fact, the Russell 2000 is already down about 3.7% since I sent out my warning on January 17.

Now, I don’t have a crystal ball. But I used my system to go back through a decade of data to see what might happen.

During the 15 similar setups in those 10 years, the sell-offs following overbought conditions lasted an average of just over three weeks. And the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost an average of 5.5%.

This pullback will be temporary, though. History tells us it’ll take a few days or weeks to dissipate. So right now, let’s wait out this healthy correction and have our shopping lists ready.

When my system turns green again, we’ll be able to re-enter this epic bull run at even lower prices. Many great companies will go on sale and hand us buying opportunities. And we’ll be ready to scoop them up at a discount.

Teeka Tiwari: Will This Be My Next Big Call?

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Daily

Over the past 12 months, I’ve made some big calls…

All of these calls were unpopular at the time. While I was beating the drum on cryptos, private markets, and cannabis… Wall Street was pushing the panic button.

But being the guy with the least popular idea is usually a sign I’m on the right track. It’s a price I’m willing to pay in the pursuit of spectacular returns.

Today, I want to tell you about another call I made in August 2019 that’s flown under the radar. But subscribers who followed me on a similar situation had the chance to make gains like 266% and 140% in only 21 days.


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An Unloved Market

So what was the unheralded call I made in August 2019?

It wasn’t a sexy prediction like my call for a rally in cryptos and cannabis. And it wasn’t a crazy prediction like my call that a multitrillion-dollar pool of private equity would finally open up to Main Street.

Instead, I said it was time to buy the British market.

It was a boring prediction. So that’s probably why it went unnoticed.

But here’s why I made it: In August 2019, Britain was in the throes of Brexit.

This is what I wrote about Brexit at the time:

The British market is getting no love from investors. As you may recall, Brits initially voted to leave the European Union on June 23, 2016. The media called the decision Brexit. And the markets panicked.

Here’s the thing… I believe this is a typical market overreaction. While most mainstream pundits are stoking fears about the breakup, foreign firms have been quietly buying up British companies.

And I was right. Brexit led to a buying frenzy…

Two years after the vote, Bloomberg reported a 60% increase in acquisition of British companies by foreign companies.

So while the media were saying Brexit was the end… some of the smartest money in the world pumped $232 billion into acquiring 475 British companies.

The media completely ignored this wave of buying… And worst of all, they’re still sounding the alarm on Britain.


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How to Profit From Brexit 2.0

After winning a landslide election last month, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson pushed through a hard January 31 Brexit deadline.

And this time, there’s no turning back…

I expect Wall Street to overreact again – and hand us another chance to buy British companies at bargain basement prices.

In fact, we could see another round of sell-offs in British stocks like we did in June 2016… when the British pound crashed about 10% against the U.S. dollar.

Under a scenario like that, certain high-quality stocks could quickly lose 40%, 50%, or even 60% in price. And investors who buy cheap will have a chance to cash in when these firms receive buyout offers.


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In my elite Alpha Edge trading service, we’re using a little-known strategy to capture huge gains from this coming turmoil.

It’s the same strategy we used the last time we uncovered a similar situation in July 2019. Back then, Alpha Edge subscribers made gains of 266% and 140% in only 21 days.

If you aren’t a member yet, keep an eye on the iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWU) – which is up nearly 14% since I recommended it in August 2019.

It consists of stocks trading primarily on the London Stock Exchange. And it’ll give you broad exposure to a U.K. rebound.

The REAL Secret Behind Buying Low & Selling High

Zach Scheidt - Editor, The Daily Edge
Zach Scheidt – Editor, The Daily Edge

Everyone knows the formula for successful investments — buy low, sell high.

So why do so many stock investors get it wrong?

The S&P 500 has gained about 7% a year on average for the last three decades. But retail investors — everyday folks like you and I — are lucky to make 4% in the stock market each year.

And that’s just on average. Hidden within those numbers, people lost their life savings… watching their chances of a dream retirement just disappear

The problem is timing — the widespread belief that it’s easy to know exactly when to get in and out of the market.

Trust me… it’s not easy.

Without a reliable, well-researched system, you’re just guessing. That makes you more likely to buy at the wrong time and sell too soon.

A lack of strategy also makes you more prone to emotional decisions where things are volatile.

You’ll rashly buy because you’re afraid of missing the next upswing — paying too much for a position. And sell when prices turn against you, racking up huge losses.

So today I’d like to give you the antidote for poor market timing. It lets you ignore Wall Street’s ups and downs… reliably growing your wealth over time.

It’s called dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Here’s what you need to know…


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The Volatility Antidote

Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is simple. You choose a stock, then commit to investing a set amount of money in that stock at a set interval.

For instance, you could choose to buy, say, $1,000 worth of Wells Fargo shares every year. Or $100 worth every week.

(I’m just using Wells Fargo because it’s a well-known company that’s taken investors on a while ride, so don’t consider this an actual recommendation.)

It doesn’t matter how much money you choose, or how often you choose to buy. What’s important is that the interval and the amount of money you put in stays the same, no matter what.

What will likely change is the number of shares you end up buying at each interval.

When prices go up, your money will buy you fewer shares. When prices fall, you’ll get more shares for your money.

Either way, you’re adding to your position every year. And if you choose a dividend-paying stock, you’ll also increase the amount of income you receive every year, too.

You can use that money to buy even more shares of the stock — compounding your income even more!

Before long, your position will be large enough that the ups and downs won’t matter anymore.

In fact, you might actually start looking forward to downswings… because they will give you a chance to make your pile of stock shares even bigger.

Best of all, when it’s finally time to sell your shares, you could end up with much more money than if you had made a big initial purchase or even tried to time the markets.

Let’s take a look at this in action!


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The Power of Dollar-Cost Averaging

Let’s say you decided to initiate a DCA strategy using Wells Fargo in 2008.

You vow to spend $1,000 on WFC shares as soon as the market opens every New Year — no matter what’s happening to the stock or the economy.

On the first business day of 2008, Wells Fargo shares opened for $30.48. Your $1,000 could buy 32 shares at that price. And since the stock paid out $1.30 in dividends that year, you would have earned a total of $41.60 that year.

Then the financial crisis hit… and Wells Fargo shares started dipping.

A lot of people panicked and sold, taking huge losses. Others tried to guess when the stock would hit bottom before buying in again.

But not you. Following your DCA plan, you invest $1,000 in Wells shares the second the market opens in January 2009.

Shares are a little cheaper, plus you can use your dividends to buy shares, too. So you add 35 shares to your position.

You now have a total of 67 shares… and even though the company slashed its dividend that year, you would have received a total of $32.83.

Let’s say you continued the strategy through January 2020. By this time, you have 396 shares of the stock. At its current price, your position is worth $19,200.

Sell your position now, and you’ll bank a 48% return on the $13,000 you’ve invested in the company.

And the best part is, you didn’t have to worry about the financial crisis that started in 2008. And when Wells Fargo was accused of fraud in 2016, you didn’t panic.

Instead, you’ve kept your cool… and come out ahead!

But for dollar cost averaging to work, you need to keep some important things in mind.


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One of the top news anchors in America just went on-camera to expose a huge story. When word spreads about what she’s uncovered — it could trigger an equally huge move in the stock market.

If you haven’t seen her interview… which details a sector of the market that could soar 37x in the months ahead, click this link to watch it now.

Click here to watch it


A Long-Term Strategy for Long-Term Profits

For the best results, choose well-known companies that have been around a long time and pay dividends.

You can expect them to keep chugging along, and your annual dividends will increase as you keep picking up shares.

Above all else, this strategy requires discipline. It simply can’t work if you’re not prepared to stick with it for the long-term.

You can’t second-guess your plan. Set up the rules for yourself, then follow them. Don’t be swayed by emotion.

There are only two times you should close the position.

The first is if something fundamental changes at the company. For instance, it suddenly decides to stop paying dividends… or it starts warning investors that it’s on the verge of folding because of bankruptcy.

You can’t make money with a company that will no longer exist.

The second reason to sell is to enjoy some well-deserved profits.

But with a solid DCA plan in place, you can stop worrying about the markets ups and downs. Instead, you’ll focus on building a position that will likely have a big-time payoff down the road.

So why not give it a try?