Legendary Stock-Picker Predicts Best-Performing Stock of 2020

Here’s What’s Behind the Current Volatility

After rallying as much as 61% off its March lows – the broad market has retreated 9% since the start of September. Of course, a resurgence of coronavirus cases in Europe is behind some of the current sell-off. Investors fear a second wave of the pandemic could lead to a new round of global lockdowns. But Teeka Tiwari says much of the current weakness is due to government policy. That’s because the market has gotten addicted to two things: low interest rates and government spending.

After rallying as much as 61% off its March lows – the broad market has retreated 9% since the start of September. Of course, a resurgence of coronavirus cases in Europe is behind some of the current sell-off. Investors fear a second wave of the pandemic could lead to a new round of global lockdowns. But Teeka Tiwari says much of the current weakness is due to government policy. That’s because the market has gotten addicted to two things: low interest rates and government spending.

By Chaka Ferguson, editor, Palm Beach Daily

On Monday, we saw wild volatility rip through the markets…

And nothing was spared. The S&P 500 closed down 1.2% while the Dow fell 1.9%. Meanwhile, gold dropped 2%… and bitcoin fell 3.7%.

Across the board, nearly every asset class was bleeding red.

But at PBRG, we have a robust risk management strategy in place to guard against extreme moves in the market. If you follow it, it’ll protect your portfolio – over the long term – from wild swings like we’re seeing now.

Today, I’ll go over our strategy… but first, let me tell you what’s rattling the markets.


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The Market’s Latest Addictions

After rallying as much as 61% off its March lows… the broad market has retreated 9% since the start of September.

Of course, a resurgence of coronavirus cases in Europe is behind some of the current sell-off. Investors fear a second wave of the pandemic could lead to a new round of global lockdowns.

But Daily editor Teeka Tiwari says much of the current weakness is due to government policy. That’s because the market has gotten addicted to two things: low interest rates and government spending.

This crypto technology could revolutionize nearly every industry – and change your life forever.

Teeka says low rates and a surge in government stimulus have boosted equity prices since the outbreak. But while the Federal Reserve announced it will continue low interest rates for the foreseeable future… the stimulus part of the equation is uncertain.

Here’s Teeka:

Last week, the Federal Reserve said it will keep interest rates very low for an extended period of time… That really wasn’t news to the market; it knew rates would stay low… And that’s why the market had such a muted response to the Fed’s announcement.

Now, low interest rates are very supportive of higher equity prices. But government stimulus probably has more to do with the rally we saw off the bottom than anything else. The government put trillions of dollars directly into the hands of consumers. And consumers did what they’re great at. They spent, right? And this surge of capital just went directly into the U.S. economy and has really cushioned the economic blow of the coronavirus.

So the question here now is – at least in terms of the direction of the market – can the U.S. economy continue moving forward without another shot in the arm from the federal government? My gut is saying probably not.

According to Teeka, we’ll likely see another round of stimulus pass Congress. But with both sides trying to one-up the other, it might not happen until next year. And that uncertainty is rattling the markets.

So what can you do in the meantime?


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We’re Prepared No Matter Who Wins

At PBRG, we remain bullish on both the stock and crypto markets.

As we’ve written about before, the crypto market has several catalysts that will drive it higher. And as for stocks, they’ll climb over the long term as the Fed is forced to continue pumping stimulus into the economy.

We know that’s a difficult position to take when stocks and cryptos are in free fall. But the key to being a smart investor is to look at the big picture… and to prepare your portfolio to weather any short-term volatility.

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At our flagship Palm Beach Letter advisory, we’re prepared for anything the market throws our way.

You see, we use a highly diversified asset allocation model and risk management to protect and grow our portfolio.


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Various studies show that over 90% of a portfolio’s long-term returns are driven by asset allocation.

Unlike the 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds recommended by Wall Street, we diversify into eight asset classes: equities, fixed income, real estate, private markets, cryptos, precious metals, collectibles, and cash.

Since our newsletter’s inception on April 13, 2011, through September 18, 2020, our recommendations have averaged annual returns of 114.7%. For comparison, the S&P 500 has annualized returns of 12.6% over the same period.

And not only does our broadly diversified portfolio hand you better returns… it also results in lower risk and better protection for your money.

For example, from February 19 to March 23, the Russell 3000 dropped 35%. (It represents about 98% of the U.S. stock market.) Yet our PBL portfolio was down only 28% over the same time frame.

And this doesn’t account for our alternative recommendations. We have several plays outside the stock market. If we factored them in, we’d only be down by about half as much as the index.

Now, the key to making asset allocation work is risk management. Always use sensible position-sizing and stop losses to protect your downside, where appropriate.

When it comes to position-sizing, Teeka’s simple rule of thumb is this: If an investment hits its stop, your maximum loss should be no more than 2–5% of your portfolio’s value.

So even if a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic trips up this most recent rally… as long as you diversify your portfolio and stick to your risk-management guidelines, you’ll be set up to profit when it restarts.


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Although bitcoin is down 3.7% today… Teeka is still bullish. In fact, he believes crypto is one of the best ways to diversify your portfolio.

Not only is it a hedge against broad market volatility, its underlying blockchain technology has explosive upside. You can learn more right here…

These Foreign Stocks Could Rally 24%

One basket of foreign stocks should be on your "can’t ignore" list. It’s a group of stocks from the next "up and coming" markets. And this basket of stocks is breaking out to new highs now.

One basket of foreign stocks should be on your “can’t ignore” list. It’s a group of stocks from the next “up and coming” markets. And this basket of stocks is breaking out to new highs now.

By Chris Igou, analyst, True Wealth

Not all foreign markets are equal…

Some are like China… integral to the global economy. But some are like Venezuela… plagued with issues that keep it from being worth a real investment look.

Regardless, most U.S. investors don’t spend as much time thinking about investing overseas as they should. And that’s especially true today – because one basket of foreign stocks should be on your “can’t ignore” list.

It’s a group of stocks from the next “up and coming” markets. And this basket of stocks is breaking out to new highs now.

History shows that we could expect strong outperformance from here… including the potential for a 24% gain over the next year.

Let me explain…


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The group of foreign stocks I’m talking about goes by the name “BRICs.” It stands for Brazil, Russia, India, and China.

These countries have been on the up-and-coming list for decades. And they continue to mature with every year that goes by.

These markets have a history of volatility. So they aren’t the kinds of assets a conservative investor would want to buy and hold for years. But here’s the thing…

If you can buy this basket of stocks when they’re breaking out, it can lead to fantastic profits.

You see, the MSCI Emerging BRIC Net Total Return Index, which holds a broad basket of stocks from these countries, has hit nine new highs since 2001. And eight of those nine instances led to more gains over the next year.

That matters because this basket of stocks recently hit a new 52-week high. Take a look at the iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF), which tracks this underlying index…

These stocks recently broke out to new highs. And history says the uptrend is likely just getting started.

Since 2001, similar events have led to massive outperformance compared with a simple buy-and-hold strategy. Check out the returns in the table below…

Buying a basket of these stocks has led to solid gains over the past two decades. Investors could have made 12% per year since 2001. But buying after new highs blows that return out of the water…

Similar instances have led to 7% gains in three months, 12% gains in six months, and a 24% gain over the next year. Those are fantastic upside numbers. And we’ve got the chance to take advantage of them right now.


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You don’t have to do anything tricky. You can simply buy the iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF), which we charted above. It holds a basket of stocks from these four countries. And based on history, it’s a smart bet to make today.

Simple Indicator of Growing Wealth

Smart investors can use this simple indicator of growing wealth to spot the next birthplace of tomorrow’s success stories.

Smart investors can use this simple indicator of growing wealth to spot the next birthplace of tomorrow’s success stories.

By Brian Tycangco, analyst, True Wealth Opportunities: China

Few things symbolize the dawn of the Western middle class better than shopping malls…

They’re big, clean, full of variety, and everything’s usually on sale.

Take the American Dream mega-mall, for instance. It partially opened for the first time last year in New Jersey. Once it’s complete, it will feature more than 450 stores, covering roughly 3 million square feet of retail space. It even has an indoor ski slope.

But what if I told you that the last large mall like this one to open in the U.S. was New York’s Palisades Center… back in 1998?

That was more than two decades ago. And I’d guess that you probably can’t recall the last time a new mall opened up near where you live.

In Asia, it’s the complete opposite.

Shopping malls have been popping up just about everywhere in this region. Many of them make the American Dream mall look tiny in comparison. And this trend is something you can’t afford to ignore.

Let me explain…


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The Iconsiam… CentralPlaza WestGate… SM Seaside City Cebu. Do any of these names sound familiar to you? Probably not.

These are just examples of malls that have opened in Asia (outside of China) over the past five years. And each of them is nearly twice as big as the American Dream mall.

All of the world’s 15 largest malls are located in Asia, including four in the Philippines where I live.

This is showing us where the middle class is growing fastest. And I think it paints a clearer picture than any number out there.

That’s because shopping mall operators only build when and where they see a good market. That means enough people who want things like home appliances, furniture, casual dining, movie theatres, and personal care services.

The businesses that set up shop inside malls do their homework, too…

McDonald’s (MCD) won’t open unless it’s sure there’s the right amount of foot traffic to keep its cash registers ringing. Neither will Apple (AAPL), Starbucks (SBUX), Nike (NKE), or any other well-established retailer.

So, when malls are opening up left and right – especially when they’re the size of several football fields – it’s usually a good sign that people are becoming wealthier.

Real estate firm CBRE estimates that since 2016, close to 80% of all shopping malls under construction has taken place in the Asia Pacific region. They cover a combined area that’s the equivalent of 100 American Dreams.

And it’s not just the malls themselves…

Whenever a new mall opens up, land values around it usually skyrocket. This results in a boost in the wealth of individuals fortunate enough – or smart enough – to own real estate in the area.

Yes, the COVID-19 pandemic has hit Asia’s entire retail industry hard, with shopping malls among the worst affected. But this is only temporary.

Meanwhile, growing wealth in Asia has convinced mall operators to pour billions into construction… And it’s an undeniable long-term trend.

It’s the same explosion in middle-class wealth that unleashed the great shopping center boom in the U.S. in the 1950s.

Back then, 4,500 malls opened in just the four years leading up to 1960. That’s a thousand new malls a year. It accelerated sharply after that.

Today, there are roughly 116,000 malls in the U.S.


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Along the way, we witnessed the birth of today’s multibillion-dollar retail giants, like the ones I mentioned above. One of them, Apple, is already worth around $2 trillion.

Smart investors can use this simple indicator of growing wealth to spot the next birthplace of tomorrow’s success stories.

As you probably know by now, that birthplace is Asia.

Investors Guide: Four Steps to Take Before Investing in 2020

With markets hitting all-time highs again, you’re probably wondering if it’s a good time to be invested. I’ll share the answer to that question in a moment. But first, we have to address the most important prerequisites you must meet before putting any money to work in today’s unusual market…

By Austin Root, portfolio manager, Stansberry Portfolio Solutions

What’s an investor to do?

The S&P 500 Index fell about 34% from its February peak to the market’s March 23 bottom. Since then, it’s back up about 58%.

Now, with markets hitting all-time highs again, you’re probably wondering if it’s a good time to be invested.

I’ll share the answer to that question in a moment. But first, we have to address the most important prerequisites you must meet before putting any money to work in today’s unusual market…

You see, investing in riskier assets like stocks and corporate bonds should never be the first step you take in building wealth and establishing financial freedom. It should be one of the last.

All investors – and I mean all – must go through these mission-critical preparatory steps first…


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Clearly define your investment goals.

It seems so obvious, and yet most folks I speak with skip right over this first step. By and large, all investors are looking to do just three basic things…

  • Get wealthy.
  • Stay wealthy.
  • Generate steady, current income.

First, identify which of these goals are yours and then invest accordingly. Stocks, for example, can help you get wealthy… Hedges and hard assets can help you stay wealthy… And bonds and dividend investments can help you produce safe, steady income.

This next step is also an important part of choosing between these priorities…


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Know your investment horizon.

The length of your investment horizon will have more of an impact on how you should be investing than you probably realize. Put simply, the shorter your horizon, the less risk you should take in your portfolio.

That’s because assets with the highest return potential (like microcap stocks or extremely distressed debt) also tend to be the most volatile. Over the longer term – more than five years – these risky assets tend to outperform. But over shorter periods, they can massively underperform.

So if you only have a few years before you’ll need the money, you’ll have to reduce your risk and tilt more toward “stay wealthy” investments.


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Understand your risk tolerance.

This step requires you to be completely honest with yourself.

Do you really have the temperament to stomach the extreme short-term losses that investing in risky assets will bring? If you’re comfortable zig-zagging your way to big-but-volatile investment gains, invest in riskier assets. But if you prefer sleeping well at night, pick safer vehicles.


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Clean up your “personal balance sheet.”

This might be the most important prerequisite to investing. And yet countless folks with student loans and credit-card debts are avoiding it. In short, before you put real money into any stock or bond, you must first pay off your high-cost debt.

Given where markets and prevailing interest rates are today, I suggest you use this rule of thumb… List any and all debts you owe that carry an annual interest rate of 6% or more.

First, look to consolidate and refinance these debts to a rate below that threshold – rates for residential mortgages and home-equity loans have never been lower. But for those debts you cannot refinance, pay them off… before you buy even that fractional share of Apple (AAPL) you’ve been eyeing on your Robinhood trading app.

So what’s an investor to do today? It largely depends on these four mission-critical steps – and where you stand on them.

If you’re primarily looking to stay wealthy… if you have an investment horizon of less than five years… if you can’t stomach big short-term losses… or if you currently owe debts with interest rates of 6% or more – you should not be investing in the stock market today. Full stop.

If you do have your financial house in order, now is a good time to invest – as long as you use caution.

Hold more protection and “rainy day” reserves than normal… And only buy the best kind of stocks. That means owning high-quality, rapidly growing companies with enduring franchises, talented management teams, and high returns on investment.

Basics You Should Definitely Know About The Stock Market

The buying and selling activities of real humans are at the core of market action. These folks try to weigh the evidence themselves. And they make bets based on what they expect to happen next. When it comes down to it, folks make trades for two main reasons: greed, or fear. They either buy because they expect prices to move higher… or they sell because they expect prices to fall further.

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

With a little work, you can enjoy incredible investment returns.

Yes, you… the “little guy”… the “average investor.”

A lot of folks don’t realize this. It’s easy to get duped into believing only the smartest and most connected folks can succeed. But it’s simply not true.

If you want to do it, you only need to understand one thing… the “DNA test” of the market.

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It’s simple. Anyone who is willing to put in a little effort can take advantage of it. You just have to think about what drives the stock market… at the most basic level.

At a glance, the market is hugely complicated. It’s a fortress of moving parts. And it takes in hundreds, even thousands, of data points each day to determine prices.

That’s all true. And I realize it’s a bit daunting. But there’s a deeper truth to the market that has a massive effect on what it does.

Let me explain…


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Remember, the buying and selling activities of real humans are at the core of market action. These folks try to weigh the evidence themselves. And they make bets based on what they expect to happen next.

When it comes down to it, folks make trades for two main reasons: greed, or fear. They either buy because they expect prices to move higher… or they sell because they expect prices to fall further.

This happens every day. And it’s where the DNA test comes in. We want to see whether the market is running on greed or fear… Or, in other words, we want to see what the market is made of.

If folks are all buying in unison, the market is showing extreme greed. This tells us most investors are already in on the trade.

Hugely positive sentiment like this is a troubling sign for the market. Think of it this way… If investors are all betting stocks will go up from here, there’s no one left to buy more. There’s no one left to push prices higher.

When investors are “all in,” that’s when a rally is likely running out of steam.

Conversely, if investors are all jumping into their bunkers, that fear is a sign of the exact opposite. It shows that investors are expecting more losses… And it means there’s no one else to sell and push prices lower.

On an individual level, this information doesn’t tell us much. But when a mass group of investors bet in the same direction, it’s a sign that the market is about to take a turn.

Gauging this overall sentiment is how we test the DNA of the market. By understanding what the masses are doing, we can get a grasp of what’s likely to come next. It tells us if stocks are healthy… or if a crash is imminent.

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Consider what happened back in March. We saw the scale tilt into “extreme fear” mode based on the CBOE Volatility Index (“VIX”).

The VIX is the market’s “fear gauge.” It measures the implied volatility of the options market. But more simply, it tells us if folks are scared or not.

When stock prices swing wildly, the VIX rises. And that usually means fear is increasing.

When the VIX peaked on March 16, 2020, it was a sign of maximum fear. Just a week later, the S&P 500’s month-long fall came to a halt. It stopped falling and started soaring.

The S&P 500 hasn’t looked back since. Take a look at the chart below…

This is the market’s DNA test in action…

By examining what investors do at extreme moments, we’re able to peek at the DNA that’s driving prices.

Even more, these moments of extreme fear are indicators that a buying opportunity has arrived. And you don’t have to peg the exact peak in fear to make money, either.

In fact, even as fear subsides, you can still make big money in the following months…

Since 1990, you could have outperformed the market significantly by buying after the VIX spiked above and fell back below 35.

Similar cases have led to nearly 12% returns a year later. Meanwhile, the S&P 500’s typical one-year return over that same time frame was 7%.

Now, the VIX isn’t the only way to test the DNA of the market. Anything that measures broad market sentiment can be useful. This is just one simple way to do it. And obviously, following the VIX is darn useful.


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Again, the VIX peaked in March. And stocks started to rally shortly after.

That’s why I’ve told my readers to get back into U.S. stocks since the beginning of May. And today, with a strong trend in place, it’s still the right move.

But the bigger point today is, understanding the DNA test for the market is what will give you a leg up on the investing competition. It’s how the “little guy” can enjoy fantastic returns. And I urge you to put it to work in your own investing starting now.


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