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Bitcoin Will Protect You From This Debt Bomb

By Greg Wilson, analyst, Palm Beach Daily

Antonio Raimondi has long been honored by Peruvians. The Italian-born geographer and scientist spent most of his adult life in Peru.

He’s known for being one of the founding professors of the medical school at the National University of San Marcos.

And he’s also known for loving all things Peruvian… and his numerous expeditions to all regions of the country.

A century after his passing in 1890, he became the face of the Peruvian inti bank note:

Do you notice anything interesting about this note? The figure of 5,000,000 isn’t a typo. (The largest Peruvian sol bank note today is 200.)

In 1985, Peru was the prototypical case of government mismanagement.

It spent too much in an effort to boost the economy. And the central bank printed money to cover its growing debts.

This led to runaway inflation of over 1,000%. In fact, prices increased so much, the central bank had to create the 5 million inti note above.


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It was unprecedented in Peru’s history. (Imagine if the U.S. released a $2.5 million bank note tomorrow. That’s essentially what Peru did.)

But despite the note’s high nominal value, inflation-adjusted wages fell 54% in Peru during this period. Historians describe Peruvian living standards at the time as unbearable.

And Peru isn’t the only example of hyperinflation destroying a national currency…

  • Argentina: Inflation was over 47% in 2018 and is running at 56% in 2019. Argentines are lining up at banks to take out their money.
  • Venezuela: Today, inflation is running at 135,000%. That’s already down from the peak of 2.6 million percent to start the year. And the UN estimates 94% of Venezuelans live in poverty.
  • Zimbabwe: Inflation reached nearly 300% in 2018. This February, the government introduced a new currency called the zollar—which has already lost 82% of its value.

You may think this type of currency devaluation is only happening in the developing world—but you’d be wrong. Western nations are increasingly using the same money-printing tactics to cover their own debt bubbles.

Although you might not see a $5 million U.S. note soon, this money-printing will eat away at your savings just like it did in Peru, Argentina, Venezuela, and Zimbabwe.

But unlike fiat currencies, governments can’t manipulate bitcoin. And today, I’ll share why you should add some to your portfolio as a hedge against rising inflation…


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The Great Unwinding

As Daily editor Teeka Tiwari has put it, the world is facing a $69 trillion debt bomb:

Total emerging market debt has tripled since 2007—and now stands at $69 trillion. (Just last year, Argentina took out an emergency $56 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund to cover its short-term debt.)

To make matters worse, many of these loans must be paid back in U.S. dollars. And as the dollar rises, their currencies get weaker. So the loans are more expensive to service.

Now, emerging markets need to pay back (or refinance) $1.5 trillion in debt over the next 18 months. But guess what? They don’t have the money.

Countries are issuing debt they can’t service—and printing too much money to try to cover it. Nothing kills a currency faster than that.

But emerging markets aren’t the only countries firing up the money printers.

On September 12, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its stimulus plan—including rate cuts and a new round of quantitative easing…

The ECB plans to buy 20 billion euros’ worth of debt per month to boost the eurozone’s sluggish economy. This is just a fancy way of saying it’s printing money out of thin air.

And President Trump wants the Federal Reserve to cut rates, too:

The Fed appears to be listening. It just cut rates by 0.25%. It’s not alone, either…

Japan continues to print record amounts of money. The Bank of Japan’s balance sheet is at all-time highs, nearing $5.5 trillion. It also has negative rates (and is considering lowering them more).

The People’s Bank of China has a balance sheet over $5 trillion as well. And it’s been clear that it’ll provide as much stimulus as it can to keep its economy growing.

The bottom line is, all the major global economies are “stimulating” their currencies and economies in one way or another. And eventually, they’ll end up like Peru in the 1980s.

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The New Gold

Gold has been the traditional safe-haven asset. Used for thousands of years, it can hold its value no matter what the economic condition.

And while we still like gold, bitcoin is also a hedge against inflation.

It’s not controlled by any government. And its supply is governed by computer code. Only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist—and 85% is already in circulation.

So unlike fiat currencies, you can’t create bitcoin out of thin air. This makes it a good asset to own in a world being managed like Peru in the 1980s.

Here’s Teeka again:

For those who have lived through several currency devaluations (like Argentines), bitcoin is a substitute to putting their money in banks. In fact, they’re willing to pay a $1,000 premium or more for bitcoin.

The government can stop them from buying U.S. dollars… But it can’t stop them from buying bitcoin. Even with bitcoin’s wild volatility, they’d rather have 20% of something than 100% of nothing.

Now, if you’re from a country with an established fiat currency, you probably won’t place your savings into a volatile asset like bitcoin. But consider a small stake; it could turn into life-changing gains as the Great Unwinding unfolds.

When you can’t get any interest on your cash… when governments are printing unlimited amounts of that cash… and when a worldwide Great Unwinding is on the horizon… the risk is not owning bitcoin.

But always remember, bitcoin is volatile. So don’t bet the farm. You just need a tiny grubstake for the potential for life-changing gains.


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Again, all you need is a small stake in bitcoin and other cryptos to make life-changing gains. And there’s a phenomenon happening soon that we won’t see again until 2024. It’ll send the market higher.

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The Only Chance for a Bitcoin Rally

By Jeff Clark – the editor of the Delta Report Newsletter

Last week we asked, “Is Bitcoin Gearing Up for a Year-End Rally?”

We got our answer on Wednesday. The market said, “NO!”

Bitcoin broke down from its consolidating triangle pattern. And all that energy I thought was being stored up for a rally got spent pushing bitcoin in the opposite direction. Here’s the updated chart…

Bitcoin broke down from its consolidating triangle pattern. It dropped 15% in one day. And it’s now testing support near $5,250 per coin.

This chart has suffered significant damage. Momentum indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) are more oversold now than they have been all year. This condition might help bitcoin bounce back a bit from here in the short term.

Let’s hope that happens. Because if the $5,250 level doesn’t hold, then the next support line is down around $4,300.

So… does this wipe out the chance of a year-end rally for the leader of the cryptocurrencies?


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Yes, it probably does.

Unless bitcoin can recover immediately and get back above $6,000 – like today – then there’s not much hope for a year-end rally.

I have seen charts like this break down, flush out the last of the selling pressure, and then immediately reverse. So, let’s not rule out that possibility. But, if a reversal is going to happen then it needs to happen today. Bitcoin needs to rally back inside its triangle pattern – and maybe even press above the triangle in order to repair the damage to this chart.

That’s probably wishful thinking. Given the severity of Wednesday’s decline, it looks like the breakdown is for real.

Bitcoin now needs to hold onto support at $5,250 and spend some time chopping back and forth in order to build up energy for a new rally phase.

That’s probably going to take some time.

Why You Don’t Need to Bet Big to Win Big on Cryptos

By Greg Wilson, analyst, Palm Beach Confidential

Editor note: “Most people think that Amazon became a world dominator by making all the right decisions. But CEO Jeff Bezos has made as many bad investments as good ones. The few he got right were home runs, though…

Today, my colleague Greg Wilson, analyst for Palm Beach Confidential, shows how Bezos’ experience at Amazon applies to crypto investing.”

Jeff Bezos is famous for taking Amazon and turning it into a $1 trillion company.

With a $300,000 loan from his parents, he started the company out of a garage in Seattle.

At first, the company focused on selling books, music, and video products.

Later, it diversified into, well, just about everything.

By 1997 (its first year as a public company), Amazon had generated $148 million in annual sales. Today, that number is well north of $200 billion.

That’s made Bezos the richest man in the world. He now has a net worth of around $167 billion.

It’s been good for investors, too. Those who invested in the initial public offering (IPO) are up over 3,600%—turning every $10,000 into over $370,000.

Now, you may think that Bezos and Amazon focused only on Amazon.com.

But what many people don’t know is that in its early days, Amazon made a series of e-commerce investments. This was part of its strategy to diversify its offerings.

Today, I’ll go over some of those investments. And I’ll show you how you can use Bezos’ strategy to manage your cryptocurrency portfolio.


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Amazon’s Greatest Hits and Misses

Perhaps the most famous is Pets.com. Yes, Amazon was an investor. It took a 50% stake in 1999 for an undisclosed amount. It then poured in another $50 million a few months later.

Fast forward to 2002… when Pets.com announced it was going out of business. Amazon’s loss: 100%.

Then, there was Living.com. The award-winning online furniture store went live in 1999. In 2000, Amazon took an 18% stake in the company.

But the company didn’t last long. It simply ran out of funds. And in 2001, it closed its doors. Another dud investment for Amazon.

Yet another miss was Amazon’s $60 million investment in Kozmo.com. Kozmo offered a one-hour delivery service of items like videos, games, books, and food. Amazon invested in 2000. But by 2001, Kozmo had completely shut down.

Not all investments were complete losers, though. One example is Ashford.com, an online luxury retailer specializing in watches. Amazon invested $10 million in 1999 for a 16.6% stake in the retailer.

In 2002, GSI Commerce bought out Ashford.com for $14 million. Assuming its ownership didn’t change, Amazon was able to recoup about $2.3 million. That’s only a 77% loss.

Another example is HomeGrocer.com, a grocery delivery company. Amazon invested $42.5 million for a 35% stake in 1999.

In all honesty, this could have been another losing investment. But in 2000, Webvan paid $1.2 billion for HomeGrocer.com. Assuming its ownership didn’t change, Amazon made $377.4 million for a cool 888% return… dwarfing the losses it took on its other investments.

And there were even bigger winners, too.

The most notable was Audible. It produces spoken audio entertainment, information, and educational programming. In other words, audiobooks.

Amazon took a 5% stake in the company for an undisclosed amount in early 2000. The relationship proved good over time. And in 2008, Amazon bought out Audible for $300 million.

Today, Audible remains a key component of Amazon and its Prime membership. There’s no sure way to know how much Amazon has made on this investment. But it’s one that will keep paying off for years to come.

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Learning From Bezos’ Lessons

Bezos taught us an important lesson with these investments.

You see, he was smart enough to know the internet was going to be big. But he was also smart enough to know it’s impossible to predict the ultimate winners.

That’s why we diversify, take reasonable position sizes, and remind you over and over to do the same.

And that’s what Bezos and Amazon did. They made a series of strategic investments and never bet everything on one idea.

As a sharp analyst said at the time, “Even if all of Amazon’s investments eventually fail, the company has not lost a whole lot.”

And the numbers bear out this thesis…

Let’s say you make 10 investments of $400 each and then had the following returns: -100%, -100%, -100%, -100%, -100%, -77%, 0%, 0%, 888%, and 3,600%.

In this case, you’d lose eight out of 10 times. Although having 80% of your investments lose looks terrible, you would have done well in this scenario.

Your $4,000 invested would have turned into $19,644—a gain of 391%.

As you can see, even though you had more losers, the winners more than made up for them.


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You Don’t Need to Bet Big to Win Big

This is exactly what we do at Palm Beach Confidential.

Our strategy has always been to take small, uniform position sizes.

And it’s worked out well for us. Yes, some positions are down in the current crypto bear market. But our subscribers have had opportunities to book gains of 582%, 2,050%, and 14,354%.

Like the internet in the 1990s, we know cryptocurrencies and their underlying blockchain technology are revolutionary.

But it’s impossible to know who exactly the big winners will be.
That’s why it makes sense to take a page out of Bezos’ playbook: Diversify and take small position sizes.

And don’t bet more than you can afford to lose… $200–400 is enough for a small investor to make life-changing gains.

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