Tag: Billionaire Mystery Broker Reviews

By Jason Bodner, editor, Palm Beach Trader

It’s something I’ve known ever since my first days on Wall Street…

The key to making big money, is following the big money.

You see, big money moves markets. Huge institutional investors account for roughly 70% of all stock trading volume – every single day.

They manage trillions of dollars… and can afford an army of analysts to uncover hidden gems. So when they start betting big on a stock… they can lift prices higher and higher.

The good news is you don’t need to pay an elite hedge fund to find the next winning stock. If you know what to look for, you can just track their moves and ride along for big profits.

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Fortunately for you, I’ve spent nearly a decade and hundreds of thousands of dollars to build a system to do just that.

• It allowed me to find Grubhub in June 2018… two months before hedge fund JANA Partners announced it’d bought a stake. Less than two months after the signal in June, the stock rocketed 31%.
• It nailed Applied Optoelectronics in January 2017… a month before Trafelet Brokaw Capital Management announced its stake. About six months after the initial January signal, AAOI peaked over 227%.
• It happened with Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals in November 2013. Three months later, billionaire hedge fund manager John Paulson disclosed a stake in the company. Nearly a year later, the stock peaked over 176%.

I have hundreds of examples like that…

You see, huge investors move money around every single day. But most people have no clue what the big boys are doing until it shows up on CNBC. By then, it’s too late. The major moves have already been made.

The real trick is spotting big boys before they surface. That’s exactly what my system does. And today, I’ll show you where it says they’re headed right now…

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Green = Big-Money Buying

I spent nearly two decades as a Wall Street trader at firms such as Cantor Fitzgerald. In fact, I was one of only a handful of people in the world who could trade $1 billion or more for big financial institutions.

I had a front-row seat and saw how big money really works… in real time and in ways almost no one else could.

Now, these whale investors can’t buy stocks the way we do. They need someone on the inside to set everything up for them… to line up sellers when they want to buy millions of shares.

They’re great at hiding their tracks; but they always leave clues. And only someone like me who was on the inside can detect them.

That knowledge allowed me to design a stock-picking system that identifies the best stocks the big money is buying.

Here’s how it works…

It scans 5,500 stocks every day, using algorithms to rank each one for strength. It also looks for the signs of big-money investors. And when it sees them moving in or out of a stock, it raises a yellow flag.

Then, I put these yellow flags through another filter. If the flag turns red, it means the big money is selling. If it turns green, it means the big money is buying…

It’s that simple: When I see green, the big money is buying. So where is my system saying it’s headed next?

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This Industry Is Flashing Green

My system is showing big buying recently in the semiconductor space. These companies make chips for all sorts of electronic devices.

The chart below shows the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH). It holds 25 of the top semi stocks. The green bars show when big buying is starting. As you can see, when big money buys… it’s off to the races.

I looked through my data to find when semi buying was more than 1.5 times what I normally see in the space. And I only saw buying like this 10 times in the past decade.

In fact, all 10 of these big buying events resulted in gains over the following year. The average gain was 22.4%.

As you can see in the table above, my system flagged big buying on November 6. It means buying in semis just picked up again in a big way.

If you want to follow the big-money wave, consider adding SMH to your portfolio. As always, do your homework before making any investment.

Remember: The key to making big money, is following the big money.

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As I mentioned above, finding the best stocks is a matter of finding out where big investors are putting their money.

That’s because massive institutional money drives the market. They can swallow up to 4.9999% of any publicly owned company in America from the tiniest microcap to a behemoth.

My system can predict this buying activity 24 hours to 10 days in advance. If you want to learn more, click here for the full details.

Editor’s Note: For the past two decades, PBRG Wall Street insider Jason Bodner has been a force in the financial markets. At just 28 years old, Jason made partner at Cantor Fitzgerald. Cantor’s a global finance powerhouse—overseeing trades for 5,000 of Wall Street’s heaviest hitters, Fortune 500 companies, and even the New York Federal Reserve.

And thanks to his proprietary system, his subscribers have seen triple-digit gains in under nine months on companies like The Trade Desk and Paycom Software.

But Jason’s system doesn’t just identify stocks the smart money is likely buying. It can also tell us which direction the market is headed in. And today, Jason shares what it’s signaling now…

By Jason Bodner, editor, Palm Beach Trader

If you’re like me, you worry when your car’s check engine light turns red.

In my car, a yellow check engine light indicates a minor problem that can probably wait; I’ll have my mechanic look into it during the next scheduled tune-up.

But a red check engine light means I need to find a safe place to stop—and get towed to my mechanic immediately.

Well, the stock market has a similar “check engine light”…

And in today’s essay, I’ll tell you what color it’s flashing—and more importantly, what you should do about it…

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A Warning Sign

After spending almost two decades on Wall Street, I created a proprietary system that scans nearly 5,500 stocks every day to look for those that institutions are likely buying.

It’s powered by 80 separate algorithms—and it even uses the same code Google operates on. Plus, it’s proven accurate over the years for pinpointing market tops and bottoms…

For instance, my system predicted the top in February 2018 and the bottom in December 2018.

But it can do more than just identify the best stocks the smart money is piling into. It also looks at the ratio of buying to selling in the market…

Now, without getting into all the details, when the ratio is above 80%, the market is overbought. And when it’s under 25%, the market’s oversold.

And the chart below shows how it’s a powerful leading indicator of the small-cap Russell 2000 Index…

As you can see, when the ratio goes green (oversold), the market generally rallies shortly after. And when it goes red (overbought), the market usually pulls back.

Currently, the ratio is in the yellow range. That means the market is overheating, but hasn’t reached overbought levels yet.

And just like your car’s yellow check engine light, it’s a warning sign…

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How to Prepare

My system’s ratio is saying it’s time to be vigilant. So we need to have a short-term game plan ready in case the market enters overbought territory and pulls back.

But it doesn’t mean you have to sell everything right away…

You see, the market will continue its uptrend—even if it briefly resets in the coming weeks as I expect it to. As I’ve explained before, with many professional investors on vacation, summer is a volatile season for stocks.

In fact, August has been the worst-performing month for the S&P 500 since 1994. The index loses an average of 0.6% during August each year.

Right now, the smart money is taking a pause from buying. That’ll likely lead to a pullback. But when buying restarts, it’ll hand us new opportunities.

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In the meantime, I’m using these overheated conditions to take profits on trades I don’t intend to be in for the long-haul.

But I’m not touching my core holdings or long-term positions. As I mentioned above, history shows the market will resume its march higher after any resets.

So if you haven’t already, trim some risk and raise some cash. You’ll have your dry powder and buy tickets ready for great stocks selling at discounts in the coming weeks.

Editor’s Note: For the past two decades, Wall Street insider Jason Bodner (Palm Beach Trader) has been a force in the financial markets. At just 28 years old, Jason made partner at Cantor Fitzgerald. Cantor’s a global finance powerhouse—overseeing trades for 5,000 of Wall Street’s heaviest hitters, Fortune 500 companies, and even the New York Federal Reserve.

Jason’s been telling readers to “stay bullish” for months. And if you listened to him, you’re riding record highs. Last week, the S&P 500 closed above 3,000 for the first time ever.

And today, Jason shares why he thinks the market will continue to go higher—with one important caveat…

I’ll get straight to the point: I was right.

In January 2019, I said we probably wouldn’t see a rate hike this year—and it’d be bullish. And we haven’t seen a rate hike so far…

In fact, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell signaled a rate cut is likely ahead.

During his congressional testimony last week, Powell cited looming economic risks as the reason. And his dovish stance boosted the markets. Last week, the S&P 500 closed above 3,000 for the first time ever.

Now, if you’re worried about “looming economic risks,” you shouldn’t be.

According to a CNBC report, since 1971, when the Fed cut rates without a recession, stocks went higher 100% of the time.

The current economic data doesn’t suggest we’re in a recession. So a rate cut would be very bullish.

For months, I said to ignore the bears. So congratulations if you did: The market is at record highs.

And if you’re one of my subscribers, give yourself a pat on the back. We recently sold four winners for an average double-digit gain. (More on that in a moment.)

Of course, the next question is whether this bull market will continue full steam ahead.

The answer is yes—with a caveat.

Today, I’ll tell you what that caveat is… where I think the market is headed for the rest of the year… and how to position yourself to profit.

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Summer Doldrums

I spoke to a $2 billion money manager recently. And he said, “I hate August. They should just close the market for August and reopen in September.”

If you’ve been on Wall Street for long (like I have), then you know August is a notoriously volatile month for stocks. It’s a classic case of, “When the cat’s away, the mice will play.”

Like most people, professional investors like to take summer vacations. In fact, they probably vacation more than anyone else. Many of them retreat to the Hamptons this time of year.

So August is a great time to take positions off the table, kick back, and relax.

Now, I fully expect the markets to continue higher once the summer is over. But we’re also closing in on being overheated…

You see, my proprietary ratio for identifying overbought and oversold markets has been rocketing higher. (Remember, a level above 80% signals overbought conditions. And a level below 25% is oversold.)

We went from 36% on May 31 (nearing oversold territory) to 72% on July 9. So we’re getting closer to overbought levels—quickly.

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But I’m not sounding the alarms. We’re trading at highs in a strong market.

These levels of buying are usually just unsustainable. So we’re setting up for a little pullback.

And these market conditions are presenting us with an opportune time to take some winners off the table.

In fact, we did this last Thursday with our Palm Beach Trader portfolio. We sold:

• Ciena Corporation (CIEN) for a 40% gain in 10 months.
• Broadridge Financial Solutions (BR) for a 33% gain in six months.
• Paychex (PAYX) for a 29% gain in six months.
• Medpace Holdings (MEDP) for a 7% gain in 10 months.

That’s an average gain of over 27% in about eight months. Over the same span, the S&P 500 returned only 10.5%.

And that’s on top of our triple-digit winners from earlier this year: The Trade Desk (TTD) and Paycom Software (PAYC).

Now, touting our past winners is fine and dandy. But where is the market headed next? And how should we position for the big move up?

For that, I turn to my proprietary stock-picking system…

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More Green Ahead

I sift through nearly 5,500 stocks every day—pulling millions of data points and scoring them. I look for those with the highest-quality fundamentals.

Once I rank them from strongest to weakest, I look for unusual institutional (UI) signals. They’re the footprints I believe big-money players leave when trying to quietly get in and out of a stock.

(I send this same data to hedge funds and institutional investors who manage billions of dollars. And you’re getting the same insights.)

Right now, the data reinforces my bullish stance.

The table below shows the UI activity my system picked up in the market sectors. You can see plenty of buying going on…

What does this all mean?

Well, U.S. stocks are still hands down the best place in the world to invest in.

Now, while my overall outlook is bullish, we’re still heading into the summer doldrums.

So now is a good time to take some profits and reduce risk. That way you’ll free up some capital to redeploy on the next dip.

Personally, I’ll be looking for great stocks that the smart money is buying up. That’s where I feel the best odds of success are for future gains.

Editor’s Note: The stock market has been incredibly rocky recently. From April 30 to June 3, it dropped nearly 7%. But it’s recovered almost half those losses over the past three days. Now, much of the uncertainty is due to negative headlines like ones about the trade war. And that has readers like Joy M. (below) worried…

So I’m handing the reins over to Palm Beach Research Group Wall Street insider Jason Bodner, who breaks down why—despite the gloom and doom—staying in the stock market is still the best long-term play for investors…

From Joy M.: Hi Jason, I just signed up for your Palm Beach Trader newsletter—and I really like your system. I understand your clear explanations and trust your advice. I think you’re very knowledgeable and can guide us to the “promised land.”

However, some people believe this current bull market will only last another six to 12 months… and after that, we’ll enter a years-long bear market. Do you agree? And does your system also work in a bear market?

Thanks for your answers. I really appreciate it!

And thank you for writing in, Joy.

You’ll get to know pretty quickly that I’m an optimistic guy. I’m definitely not a perma-bear like many others out there.

However, I also know that fear and negativity sell more than hope and positivity. Sadly, it’s human nature. And the media takes advantage of it. They know fear-based headlines attract more viewers, listeners, and readers.

Fortunately, our marketing research suggests PBRG readers don’t respond to doomsday scenarios like those of other financial newsletters and the mainstream press. That means you’re now part of a sophisticated group of investors.

So welcome aboard, Joy. You made the right decision.

With that said, let me tell you why I’m still long-term bullish on the stock market…

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Looking at the Data

I don’t make crystal ball predictions. I look at data and let that guide me.

And right now, the numbers look very good for the U.S. economy:

• 78% of companies reporting beat earnings.
• 59% of companies reporting beat sales estimates.
• The S&P 500’s blended sales growth for the first quarter of 2019 was 5.3%.
• And the S&P 500’s current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.9. That’s nearly 4% below its five-year average of 16.5.

On top of positive sales and earnings growth, interest rates and taxes are at historic lows… Plus, the U.S. dollar is strong.

Meanwhile, Europe (Brexit fears), Asia (Middle East tensions), and Latin America (Venezuela’s collapse) face all types of political and market uncertainties.

These factors make the U.S. the most attractive destination for institutional capital right now. And most of that capital will flow into U.S. equities.

Here’s why…

You see, the dividend yield on the S&P 500 is right around 2%, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury is 2.4%. But each is taxed differently.

Dividends are taxed at 23.8% (long-term capital gains). But bond income is taxed as ordinary income, and the maximum federal rate is 40.8%.

So if you’re a wealthy investor looking for income, you’d still do better owning stocks than bonds. The table below shows you’d end up with more money in your pocket with stocks at current yields…

After taxes, stocks are yielding 23.5% more than bonds. With few places where institutions can safely park their money and earn similar yields… this setup remains very bullish for stocks.

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Pullbacks Are Buying Opportunities

I know we’re seeing a lot of volatility. But the truth is, the market always has ups and downs. And the data is indisputable: Over the last century, the market has continued climbing higher and higher…

So what does this mean?

Well, looking at the grand scheme of things, the market pulls back twice or so a year on wild headlines. And guess what? That’s what we’re right in the middle of now.

But I’ve sat through many noisy markets like this before—and it’s normal. I’m not worried. In fact, pullbacks like these are healthy.

If the market just goes up in a straight line, it’ll overheat… And you know what happens when a car engine overheats. It doesn’t end well for you or the car. So we need the occasional price correction.

Regular readers know my proprietary stock-picking system scans nearly 5,500 companies every day, tracking what the smart money is doing. And last Friday, I told you to brace yourselves because it was selling.

But I also said we’d see a near-term bounce—and boom… the market is up 3% since June 3. So you should consider pullbacks like this as buying opportunities for the best stocks.

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Following the Smart Money in Bear Markets

Look, Joy… I understand how you feel.

The media will have you believe that trade war fears, impeachment talk, and rising nationalism and populism will derail the economy. However, the data suggests otherwise.

But for the sake of argument (and to answer your second question), let’s say we are entering a bear market. Would my system still work?

The answer is yes.

You see, even great stocks go down in bear markets. It makes it much harder to find profitable companies. But great stocks bounce back faster and higher when the market turns—while bad ones thud like rocks.

And you can really see what the smart money is doing in bear markets.

Wall Street has the brains, brawn, and budget to outsmart and outmuscle Main Street. It’s usually the first to know when the bear run gives way to the next bigger and longer bull run.

Trust me, I know. I spent decades trafficking billions of dollars for big institutions like Cantor Fitzgerald. That’s why I constantly watch what they’re doing. And for the foreseeable future, U.S. stocks are the best place for them to be in. That’s why we’re following them.

And here’s something else you should know about me: I’m a guy who enjoys the ride.

I like driving long distances—especially scenic routes along the beach with the top down on my convertible. I can’t get enough of the view. Sure, it takes longer to get to my destination, but the thrill is worth it.

The same logic applies to the stock market. The ride may be bumpy, but the destination will be much higher than you can imagine.

Editor’s Note: Earnings season is in full swing. According to FactSet, 46% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported Q1 2019 results so far—and 77% of those beat earnings per share, with the average beat being 5.3% higher. Both stats are above their five-year averages. So these are strong metrics.

But some sectors are doing much better than others. And identifying these “outliers” can be the difference between average and stellar returns. So to see which parts of the market are performing the best, I turned to our Wall Street insider Jason Bodner—who shared his top sector to consider…

By Jason Bodner, editor, Palm Beach Trader

Famed American surfer Laird Hamilton once said, “If you don’t understand the wave, you can’t respect it. And if you don’t have respect, it’s only a matter of time before the ocean teaches you to get some.”

The same can be said of the market. Like the ocean, it moves in waves. Some are small, and some are large. And every now and then, two powerful waves combine to form a massive tube—the “Big Wave.”

So like surfers, investors need to understand how waves work. If you don’t, you risk getting toppled by them rather than riding them to the top.

Here’s why I’m using the wave analogy…

Right now, we’re witnessing two industries forming the proverbial Big Wave. Both are attracting huge amounts of capital and institutional interest.

So in today’s essay, I’ll tell you what these two industries are—and how they’re loading up one sector in the market with “outliers”…

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How We Find Outliers

If you’ve been following the Daily, then you know I’ve developed a highly accurate stock-picking system after leaving Wall Street—where I was even a partner at Cantor Fitzgerald.

Now, Cantor Fitzgerald helped create Tradeworx, the fastest high-speed trading system on Wall Street—which identified winning trades 30 milliseconds in advance.

But my system has proven to identify the market’s fastest-growing stocks up to 30 days beforehand.

This same system flagged institutional buying in semiconductors earlier this year. And it’s been highly accurate on a number of other occasions, too. (For example, it predicted the sell-off in February 2018and the rally we saw at the start of this year.)

It can flag this type of trading activity because it quickly catches what institutional buyers are doing.

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Here’s why that’s important…

My system scans nearly 5,500 stocks every day, looking for the best of the best that institutions are likely buying by the truckload. And I use 80 complex algorithms to score and rank each one of them for strength across 29 factors.

Among this group, the system will look only for the “outliers”—the one percent of the one percent.

And if you’re serious about making money, you’ll want to own outlier stocks. You see, a 2017 study by an Arizona State University finance professor found that—over the past 100 years—just 4% of stocks have accounted for nearly all the profits of the market each year.

So these outliers are where the big money is hiding out. And if you’re not targeting these companies, you’re basically wasting your time as an investor.

That’s why my goal is to spot these outliers—and find them up to 30 days before they soar. And right now, my system is saying they’re likely coming from a certain sector…

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Where the Outliers Are Hiding

The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) sorts the 11 sectors making up the S&P 500. Each sector is broken down by industry group, industry, and sub-industry.

And since December 2018, the information technology sector is up more than 36%—the best performer of the market.

The sector is getting a boost from two industries in particular: software and semiconductors (companies making chips for electronic devices).

In fact, since Q4 2018, the S&P Software & Services Index and the PHLX Semiconductor Index have rocketed more than 40% and 45%, respectively.

Let me put that into perspective for you…

The semiconductor index alone has averaged a nearly 0.4% gain per day (including weekends) since Christmas Eve of 2018. Remember, that’s not just one stock—but an index of 30 stocks.

At that growth rate, if you’d bought a $500,000 house on Christmas Eve, your house would be worth $655,000 today—and nearly $3.6 million five years from now.

That’s the kind of outlier performance I look for.

Now, the table below ranks the 11 GICS sectors based on my proprietary scoring system. The higher the score, the stronger the sector. As you can see, infotech outscores all the others with an average of 68.26:

As a general rule, I consider any individual stock with a score over 75 as healthy. And with 191 stocks in the infotech sector, a sector average that high indicates many of them score above 75. This makes them outlier candidates.

If you want to ride the current market wave, infotech is clearly your best bet for finding outliers. And semiconductors are accounting for much of those gains.

So a simple one-click way to get exposure to the industry is through the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The fund holds large semiconductor companies like Nvidia, Intel, and Broadcom.

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As I mentioned above, my former firm helped create the fastest high-speed trading system in Wall Street history. Now, my new, private system takes it one step further: In just 20 minutes, it allows me to spot America’s fastest-growing stocks up to 30 days before they soar.

And it’s flagged a software and engineering company geared toward semiconductors that’s seeing stunning growth. Over the past five years, it’s up 300%. Plus, I think it still has plenty of room to run higher—because we’re seeing massive institutional interest, too.