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These Cheap Stocks Are Gearing Up for a Huge Rally…

By Justin Spittler, editor, Casey Daily Dispatch


Practically every major asset ended last year in the red.

Large U.S. stocks… small U.S. stocks… foreign stocks… corporate bonds… You name it.

Investors would have been much better off holding cash or “cash substitutes,” as I showed you yesterday.

And there’s a good chance cash outperforms major indices like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.

But you’re probably not going to move all of your wealth into cash. And you shouldn’t. That would be just as reckless as being all-in on stocks.

  • So the question is…

What stocks should you own in this environment?

If you’ve been asking yourself this, you’re in luck.

That’s because a special kind of stock is poised to deliver huge returns this year… even if the market at large continues to sell off.

  • I’m talking about gold stocks…

Gold stocks include explorers, producers, refiners (or simply miners), and streaming companies, otherwise known as royalty companies.

These companies are leveraged to the price of gold. This means it doesn’t take a big move in gold for them to take off.

And that’s what we’re seeing today…

  • Gold stocks are rallying…

See for yourself. The chart below shows the performance of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX). This fund invests in a basket of gold mining stocks.

Chart

You can see GDX has rallied 20% since its low last September… courtesy of an 8% jump in the price of gold. For comparison, the S&P 500 fell 11% over the same period.


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In other words, gold stocks bucked the overall trend of the market. They’re rising when practically everything else is falling… and this should continue.

  • Take it from E.B. Tucker…

E.B. is the editor of Strategic Investor. He’s also one of our in-house experts on gold. And he’s bullish on the commodity today… Here’s where he sees the gold price heading in 2019…

We’ve seen three very big moves in the price of gold in the 21st century. That’s one roughly every six years.

We’re about due for the next one and it’s likely to be the biggest yet.

In fact, I think gold could eventually go back to $1,900 – and beyond.

But we’re not calling for that in 2019. This year, I believe the price of gold will hit $1,500 an ounce. It will be one of the best-performing markets in a very volatile year for equities.

Keep in mind, $1,500 is 17% higher than the current gold price… $1,900 is 27% higher.

A move like this would be massively bullish for gold stocks. After all, these stocks are leveraged to the price of gold. Gold stocks can run a mile when the price of gold moves an inch.

Of course, this begs the question… why would gold likely head much higher?

Well, there are many reasons. For one, gold is a safe-haven asset. It tends to do well when other assets, namely stocks, do poorly.

  • And U.S. stocks are likely headed much lower…

Regular readers know why I think this.

Right now, there are several key indicators flashing danger in the banking sector and credit markets.


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But there’s another indicator that’s signaling more trouble ahead…
Below is a chart of the S&P 500 going back to 1992. The three red lines represent the uptrends of the last three major bull markets.

Chart

Notice what happened the last two times that the S&P 500 pierced a multi-year uptrend.

The market crashed.

The first time, the S&P 500 plunged 49% from 2000 to 2002. The second time, the S&P 500 fell 57% between 2007 and 2009.

As you can see above – it recently broke an uptrend that’s been in place since early 2009.

As stocks fall, more people should flock to gold. This, in turn, will bode well for gold stocks.

But there’s also another reason you should consider speculating on gold stocks.

  • Gold stocks are downright cheap right now…

Specifically, they’re cheap relative to U.S. stocks.

You can see what I mean below. This chart shows the Gold Bugs Index (HUI) – an index that tracks gold stocks – relative to the S&P 500.

The lower this ratio, the cheaper gold stocks are relative to large U.S. stocks.

Chart

You can see that this key ratio is as low as it was in early 2001… just as gold was beginning a huge bull market.

  • In short, now is a good time to buy gold stocks…

You can easily do this with GDX. This fund will give you broad exposure to gold stocks. That makes it a relatively safe way to bet on higher gold prices.

Just understand that gold stocks can be highly volatile. Don’t bet more money than you can afford to lose. Use trailing stop losses. And take profits when they come.


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Why You Should Consider Investing in This “Cash Substitute” in 2019

By Justin Spittler, editor, Casey Daily Dispatch


Today, I’ll share one of the safest places to park your money in 2019.

This is more important than ever.

As regular readers know, there’s been almost nowhere to hide.

  • 2018 was a bloodbath…

U.S. stocks got hammered. The S&P 500 fell 6.2% in 2018 – its worst performance since 2008.

And it wasn’t just one or two big sectors that got pummeled…

Eight of the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500 closed the year in the red. Only healthcare, utilities, and consumer discretionary stocks posted positive returns.

Small U.S. stocks fared even worse. The Russell 2000 – an index that tracks the performance of 2,000 small-cap U.S. stocks – closed the year down 11%.


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  • It wasn’t just U.S. stocks that fell last year, either…

Other developed markets also took it on the chin.

Just look at this chart of the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). This fund tracks the performance of stocks from developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada.

Chart

You can see that it plunged 14% last year. That’s its worst decline since 2008.

  • Emerging market stocks also tanked…

Emerging markets are countries on their way to becoming developed markets like the U.S., Japan, and Germany.

Last year, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) – which tracks over 800 emerging market stocks – ended the year down 15%… its biggest decline since 2015.

  • Bonds weren’t spared in 2018, either…

The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) ended the year down 2%. HYG invests in high-yield corporate bonds, or what most people call “junk bonds.”

Investment-grade bonds – or bonds issued to companies with sound credit – fared nearly as badly. The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) ended last year down 1.6%.


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  • It was the same story with Treasuries…

You’d think they would have done well because they’re widely seen as “safe havens.” Because of that, many investors take refuge in Treasuries when stocks are falling.

But most Treasuries still ended the year down. Take the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which holds long-dated Treasuries. It declined 1.6%.

By now, you get my point. Almost every major stock and bond category posted a negative return last year. The same is true for commodities, real estate investment trusts (REITS), and even gold, although gold finished the year strongly.

But not everything finished the year down. In fact, one “cash substitute” finished the year up 1.7%.

  • I’m talking about the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF (BIL)…

BIL invests in Treasuries with one- to three-month durations. These are some of the safest securities in the world.

They’re considered safe places to park money because their short duration makes them very low-risk, low-return investments.

They’re so safe that institutions use BIL as a cash substitute.

Not only that, BIL paid a 1.7% dividend last year.

  • So if you’re looking for a place to park your wealth in 2019, consider moving some money to BIL…

It should preserve your wealth just like “real cash,” should stocks and bonds continue falling. Plus, you’ll earn some extra income, which you won’t get if you stick your money under your mattress or park it in most bank accounts.

These Key Indicators Are Flashing Danger – Here’s How to Prepare

By Justin Spittler, editor, Casey Daily Dispatch


So much for a New Year’s rally.

Yesterday, U.S. stocks stumbled out of the gate.

The S&P 500 opened down 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) opened 0.4% lower. And the Nasdaq began the year down 2.5%.

As the day wore on, the market recovered. All three major indices closed the day in the black, albeit barely.

But it’s been a different story today. As we go to press, the S&P 500 is down 2%. The DJIA is down 2.5%, and the Nasdaq is down 2.6%.

Those are huge one-day declines.

• This isn’t the start to the year investors were hoping for…

After all, the S&P 500 fell 6.2% last year. That’s the worst annual performance since 2008.

The S&P 500 is also coming off its worst December since 1931.

In short, investors were hoping for some relief. But the market’s likely headed even lower.

I don’t say this because of a hunch. I say this because several key indicators are flashing danger.

The good news is that there’s still time to protect your wealth. I’ll show you how to “get defensive” in a second.

But let’s look at the first bearish indicator: the banking sector…


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• Bank stocks are taking a beating…

Just look at this chart of the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE). This ETF invests in more than 100 regional banks.

You can see that it fell 20% in 2018.

That’s a problem, and not just for people who own regional bank stocks.

• Banks make loans to all sorts of businesses…

They’re highly exposed to the overall health of the economy.

Banks (and their shares) tend to do well when the economy is booming. When the economy starts to weaken, the opposite happens. Banks suffer because loans dry up and borrowers struggle to pay off their debts.

That’s why many smart people see bank stocks as a “canary in the coal mine” for the overall economy and stock market.

But here’s the thing. It’s not just small, regional banks that are hurting.

• Each of the major U.S. banks ended 2018 in the red…

I’m not talking about small declines, either.

Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs all fell more than 20% last year. JPMorgan Chase fell 9%. And Bank of America tumbled 17% in 2018.

But it gets worse…

• European bank stocks are crashing, too…

HSBC – the U.K.’s biggest bank – fell 15% last year.

Banco Santander – Spain’s largest bank – fell 28%. Société Générale – one of France’s largest banks – is down 35%. And Deutsche Bank – Germany’s biggest bank – plummeted 56%.

This is clearly not good news for Europe.

And if Europe’s economy runs into serious trouble, those problems wouldn’t stay in a vacuum. They’ll spread around the world… and weigh on global stocks.

Unfortunately, the sharp sell-off in bank stocks isn’t the only reason for concern.


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• The credit market is signaling trouble, too…

The credit (or “bond”) market is one of the deepest, most liquid markets on the planet. The U.S. bond market, for one, is almost twice as big as the U.S. stock market.

The credit market is also dominated by big financial institutions. It’s where the big boys play.

Because of this, you often see trouble in the credit market before it appears in stocks.

And regular readers know that we’ve seen major weakness in the credit market lately. If you’re new to the Dispatch, you can catch up here and here.

But I didn’t write this essay to repeat what I’ve already said. I wrote it because the credit market continues to flash new danger.

• Investors are pulling money out of high-yield bonds at an alarming rate…

You can see what I mean below.

This chart shows how much money flowed into high-yield bond funds last year. High-yield (or “junk”) bonds are bonds issued to companies with poor credit.

They’re riskier than bonds issued to companies with good credit. So they pay higher interest rates.

You can see that investors pulled more than $60 billion out of junk bonds last year. That’s a record. It’s also twice as much money as investors pulled out of junk bonds in 2017.

This tells us that appetite for risky bonds is drying up. That doesn’t bode well for U.S. stocks.


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• I encourage you to take these warnings seriously…

Take precautions if you haven’t yet. Here are three ways you can do that today.

  • Hold extra cash. This will cushion you against big losses should stocks keep falling. It will also give you “dry powder” to buy stocks when the next major buying opportunities arise.
  • Own physical gold. As we often point out, gold is real money. It has preserved wealth for centuries because it’s a unique asset. It’s durable, easily divisible, and easy to transport.

    It has also survived every major financial crisis in history. This makes it the ultimate safe-haven asset. Learn the best ways to buy and store it in our free special report: “The Gold Investor’s Guide.”

  • Read the “Ultimate Crisis Playbook.” We’ve compiled the best advice from all the editors and analysts from across our business. These are some of the brightest minds on the planet – and every entry is timely and extremely valuable for what lies ahead. With 109 pages full of tactical steps from our gurus, this market crash guide is designed not just to help you protect your wealth in the months ahead… but also to prosper. Download yours for free here.

Investors who do these things will sleep much better at night. They’ll also put themselves in a position to strike when the next big buying opportunity comes around.

This Will Be America’s Next Big Health Craze

By Justin Spittler, editor, Crisis Investing


“Would you like marijuana with that?”

That’s not something you hear every day. But Moon Juice, a hip California juice bar chain, has been asking its customers this question lately.

It’s not the only place doing this, either. According to the marijuana media website Leafly, juice bars across southern California are now offering marijuana infusions.

Many people are saying “yes” … but not to get stoned.

No. They’re doing this for health reasons.

I’ll tell you why in a second. I’ll also explain why marijuana will be the next big health craze. And finally, I’ll show you how to profit from it.

Let me clarify something first.


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•  Juice bars aren’t adding tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) to their juices…

They’re adding cannabidiol (CBD).

CBD is a compound in cannabis. It doesn’t get people high like THC… But it does offer many health benefits.

People take it to treat everything from anxiety to insomnia to chronic pain – you name it.

And because CBD doesn’t get people stoned, you can buy it almost anywhere in the United States. That’s actually been true for years. But CBD didn’t become a such big health craze until recently.

So what’s changed? Simple: Marijuana legalization is sweeping the nation.

To date, 33 U.S. states (plus Washington, DC) have already legalized medical marijuana. And 10 states (plus DC) have approved recreational use.

• In short, marijuana has never been easier to buy…

Because of this, marijuana is no longer just for stoners. Lawyers, doctors, and accountants are consuming it, too. It’s gone mainstream.

And this trend will only continue. That’s because the marijuana industry is growing quickly.

Of course, it wasn’t always like this. A few years ago, the marijuana industry only appealed to stoners. Dispensaries in places like Colorado mostly sold strains of marijuana. You had to be an aficionado to know what you were buying.

It’s a different story now. These days, many top marijuana brands don’t even emphasize what kind of marijuana they’re selling. Instead, they sell “feelings.”

Take 1906, a premier marijuana chocolate brand based in Denver, Colorado. It produces a “Go” chocolate for body energy. It has a “Pause” chocolate to help people relax. And it has a “Midnight” chocolate that helps people sleep.

Here’s a picture of the company’s chocolate factory that I toured last year.

The company took this approach because it understands that many people are buying marijuana for the first time. They don’t know specific strains. But they do know what they want to feel.

You should also know something else: All of 1906’s products contain five milligrams (mg) of CBD and five mg of THC (a relatively low dose). 1906 did this because most people don’t want to get stoned out of their minds… They just want a mild high.


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Some people don’t even want to get high at all…

They just want to experience the health benefits that cannabis offers. That’s why people are paying top dollar for CBD-infused juices. And that’s just one example. There are many other CBD products out on the market right now.

I know this because I attended a marijuana lifestyle conference last summer in Vancouver, Canada. There, I saw everything from CBD “bath bombs” to CBD dog treats… And this was before Canada legalized cannabis outright. See for yourself.

This company made this product because CBD is a powerful anti-inflammatory agent. It can help dogs with arthritis feel better. One of my good friends in Florida is using it for this reason. He says it’s done wonders for his dog.

•  I’m telling you this because most people still see marijuana as a one-trick pony…

They think that it’s something that only gets people high. But a lot of people aren’t buying marijuana to get stoned. They’re buying it for health reasons.

This trend will only continue as more states legalize marijuana. I’ll even go out on a limb and say this…

CBD will be the next big health craze in the United States.

But that’s obviously not the only reason why I’m interested in this space…

•  The legal marijuana market is exploding before our eyes…

In the U.S., it’s already a $7 billion industry. By 2025, it’s expected to be a $146 billion market.

In October, Canada legalized marijuana outright. And Mexico wasn’t far behind.

That means the industry is set to grow more than 20-fold in less than a decade. That’s almost unheard of. In fact, we haven’t seen a consumer industry grow this rapidly since broadband internet in the early 2000s.

So consider speculating on marijuana stocks, specifically those in the CBD industry if you haven’t already. Just remember to use discipline if you get into this space.

Only bet money you can afford to lose. Use stop losses. And take profits when they come.

Investors who use discipline with marijuana stocks will set themselves up for huge gains without exposing themselves to major losses.