Steady Income Investments

The Biotech Sector Is Hitting New Highs

Following the trend is the smartest bet you can make when investing. And that often means buying a hot sector after it has hit new highs.

By Chris Igou, analyst, True Wealth

Do more of what’s working… And do less of what’s not.

That simple investment truism is all it takes to stop yourself from ruining your portfolio. But it’s easier to say than it is to follow.

That’s because doing more of what’s working means buying companies after they’ve rallied. It means buying assets that have already gone up a lot. And that feels wrong.

History tells a different story, though. It tells us that following the trend is the smartest bet you can make when investing. And that often means buying a hot sector after it has hit new highs.

That’s the opportunity we have today. A hot sector is hitting new highs. And history says it should lead to double-digit gains.

Let me explain…

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Almost everything sold off big earlier this year. But after that, the biotech sector was the first to hit new highs again. And it did so in April.

No other U.S. sector came close to that kind of breakout until June… two months later. And today, we are seeing signs that this uptrend is accelerating.

You see, biotech stocks continue to shatter old “new high” records almost daily. It has been a darn impressive rally. Biotech stocks, as measured by the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (“NBI”), are up more than 45% since bottoming in March.

Recently, the sector’s hot streak got even hotter. Biotech stocks rallied for eight consecutive days in June. That tells us that the trend is accelerating – and that more gains are likely in the coming months.

The chart below shows the recent breakout…

You can see that the trend has been picking up steam in recent weeks. The recent string of up days also points to more upside ahead…

Since 1993, similar events have led to big outperformance versus the typical return of this index. Take a look at the table below…

Biotech stocks have been a stellar investment for the past 27 years… returning 12% a year during that time. But you could’ve done much better if you only bought after events like we saw recently.

Buying after these kinds of up-day moves can lead to 10% gains in three months and 27% gains over the next year. That’s much higher than the typical buy-and-hold return.

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It might seem crazy to invest in a hot sector after a run like we’ve just seen. But we know we should do more of what’s working. And biotech stocks are working now.

The simplest way to own them is with the iShares Nasdaq Biotech Fund (IBB). The fund has been soaring. And history says double-digit upside is possible from here… Don’t miss it.

Teeka Tiwari: New Rule Will Unleash $40 Billion in This Market

The COVID-19 crisis will accelerate the next generation of startups. That’s because Washington is loosening rules to make it easier for them to raise funds.

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Daily

I’ve been in the market as a professional since 1989. I’ve seen three major boom-and-bust cycles.

And as painful as each market crash is… they also create new life-changing opportunities.

Take the 2008 financial crisis, for example…

The market dropped 40–50%. That’s worse than the early stages of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020.

The financial crisis bankrupted 64,318 businesses in 2008 alone. More than 1 million Americans lost their homes. And over 3.5 million people lost their jobs.

But out of the ashes, two notable startups launched: Square and Uber.

Square is an electronic payments platform. It allows businesses to use smartphones to accept payments.

It was a boon for the wave of small, nimble businesses created in the wake of the 2008 crash.

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In 2009, Square had a $30 million valuation. Today, it’s worth $50 billion.

Investors who bought the initial public offering in 2015 would’ve turned every $1,000 into $9,285.

But it’s crumbs compared to the lucky few who invested when Square was still private in 2009. They turned every $1,000 into nearly $1.5 million.

Ride-hailing service Uber followed a similar path. You see, the financial crisis spawned an entirely new gig economy as Americans looked for flexible job opportunities.

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In 2010, Uber had a $4 million valuation. Today, it’s worth $54 billion. Early investors had the chance to turn every $1,000 invested into $12.5 million.

These aren’t the only success stories. Slack, Airbnb, Pinterest, and WhatsApp also minted a new generation of millionaires.

Today, I’m seeing a similar opportunity arising from the COVID-19 pandemic.

It’s not 5G, artificial intelligence, or the internet of things.

The answer will surprise you. And, for those who take early action, it could lead to an eventual $1.6 million payout.

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Tidal Wave for Startups

The COVID-19 crisis will accelerate the next generation of startups. That’s because Washington is loosening rules to make it easier for them to raise funds.

Let me explain…

After the 2008 financial crisis, President Obama signed the Dodd-Frank bill. It increased regulations on the big banks behind the crisis.

One provision – the so-called Volcker Rule – banned banks from making risky bets like hedge funds. It also stopped them from investing in startups.

On June 25, the FDIC rolled back the Volcker Rule. The repeal will now allow banks to fund startups. The agency says it’ll help startups hurt by the pandemic.

Friends, this move will send a tidal wave of capital into this space…

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According to estimates, the repeal could inject $40 billion into private equity. That’s an insane amount of money going to small startups.

Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is proposing a rule change that’ll allow private companies to increase the amount of money they can raise from $50 million to $75 million.

So not only will we see billions more dollars pour into startups… each individual startup can raise even more capital.

Here’s why that’s a big deal for you…

Before 2015, the SEC limited these private deals to the wealthy. If you didn’t have a net worth over $1 million, you couldn’t invest in startups like Square and Uber.

In the past, these “sweetheart deals” were only made at golf courses… swanky resorts… or on private jets. If you weren’t an insider, you were out of luck.

Now, thanks to these “sweetheart deals,” called Regulation A+ offerings, everyday Americans can buy into private startups just like the ultra-wealthy.

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Your Chance to Get in On Private Deals

These sweetheart deals being available to the general public now is a real game changer.

Main Street can finally take advantage of the deals Wall Street fat cats and West Coast venture capitalists have used for decades to generate incredible wealth outside the stock market.

And the new rules I cited above will act as huge catalysts for startups. It’s only a matter of time before big banks start piling into startups.

According to our research, early-stage, private companies have returned over 12x what public companies have during the past two decades.

Still, you must position yourself now… before the tidal wave of money comes flooding in.

Now, you can search for private deals yourself on sites like SeedInvest and MicroVentures. They list dozens of startups raising money from the public. In some cases, you can start with as little as $100.

But remember, this asset class comes with risk. You only need a small stake for potential gains of 10x, 50x, 100x, or more.

It could put up to an extra $5,600 back in your pocket each year.

And will create more new millionaire investors than anything else on the planet.

Here Are The Facts

Like I said, buying growing companies while they’re still private can offer up life-changing gains.

And since launching Palm Beach Venture last year, my team has uncovered several opportunities to invest alongside billionaires in sweetheart deals – before they go public.

In fact, you can still get into three of these private deals for as low as $1 per share, with up to 3,900% upside. But you must act now. These companies will be closing their doors to new investors soon…

To learn more about these sweetheart deals, click here.

Jeff Clark: The Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index ($BPGDM) closed at 100 on Friday!

And, that’s a concern. Because, if it can’t get better, then it can only get worse. And, if history is any sort of a guide, then it might get a whole lot worse.

By Jeff Clark – the editor of the Jeff Clark Trader

The Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index ($BPGDM) closed at 100 on Friday!

That means that 100% of the stocks in the index are trading with bullish technical patterns. It literally cannot get any better than this.

And, that’s a concern. Because, if it can’t get better, then it can only get worse. And, if history is any sort of a guide, then it might get a whole lot worse.

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The only other time I can recall the BPGDM hitting 100 was back in July of 2016. The price of gold peaked a few weeks later. And, six months after, most gold stocks were down 40% or more. The damage started when the BPGDM turned lower after hitting 100.

You see, in most cases, a sector is overbought – and subject to a correction – when its BPI rallies above 80 (meaning 80% of the stocks are trading in bullish technical patterns). A sector is oversold when the BPI dips below 30. The BPI generates a sell signal when it turns lower from overbought conditions, buy signals occur when the BPI turns higher from oversold levels.

We’ve had three BPGDM sell signals over the past year. Take a look…

The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) fell 15% in the two weeks following the BPGDM sell signal last September. The sell signal in January took a little longer to play out, but it led to the massive decline in gold stocks in March. And, the gold sector fell 12% in two weeks following the late May sell signal.

Of course, the BPGDM hasn’t turned lower yet. So, we don’t have another sell signal, and gold stocks can certainly continue higher.

But, traders should pay close attention to this chart. Once the BPGDM turns lower, it’ll generate its fourth sell signal of the past year. If that one plays out like the others, then it should lead to lower prices for the gold stocks.

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A News Flash to All The Unwavering “Value” Investors

The stock market really loves growth. But sometimes, that obsession can lead to trouble…

By Austin Root, portfolio manager, Stansberry Portfolio Solutions

Here’s a news flash to all the unwavering “value” investors out there…

The stock market loves growth.

The higher and more consistent the growth, the better. Consider the following…

There are roughly 5,500 publicly traded companies in the U.S. with market caps of at least $50 million. Over the past five years, the top 10% of these companies have averaged annual revenue growth of more than 20%.

The bottom 10% of the bunch have seen their revenues decline on average (or annual revenue growth of less than 0%).

For that five-year period, shares of the fastest-growing stocks have more than doubled on average, with total returns of 103%. Shares of the no-growth bottom-dwellers averaged 8% declines in total returns.

The stock market really loves growth. But sometimes, that obsession can lead to trouble…

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No business leader in recent history knows this better than Kevin Plank, the founder of athletic apparel maker Under Armour (UAA).

Plank was notoriously hyper-focused on his company’s growth rate as he worked to make Under Armour “the best sports brand on the planet.” In October 2016, the company recorded its 26th consecutive quarter of at least 20% sales growth. Plank explained the importance of that streak in an earnings call…

Our financial results are an incredible accomplishment for any brand and something that we believe separates us from others in our business. I don’t know if there’s ever been another model like ours with the growth we’ve seen over the last 6.5 years, particularly in [the] consumer [sector].

Unfortunately for Under Armour and its shareholders, that quarter marked the last time the company would ever grow anywhere close to 20%. The following quarter, sales growth dropped to 11.7%. Over the next three quarters, it averaged just 3.6%. In 2019, it averaged sales growth of just 1.4%.

Under Armour shares dropped, too… from a high of $47 in 2016 to just around $10 today.

So what happened? How did the sales growth drop so much, so quickly? And what can Under Armour’s mistakes teach us about how to invest in successful companies?

A major contributor to the abrupt shortfall was Under Armour’s practice of “pulling forward” sales orders. That’s when you claim revenue now that you would have otherwise earned in some later period.

Knowing how important sales growth of at least 20% was to Plank, executives at Under Armour made every effort to hit that mark each quarter. Per the Wall Street Journal, an unnamed former sales executive admitted…

It was a pretty common practice to pull forward orders from the month after the quarter to ship within the quarter in order to hit the number or close the gap.

That was fine at first – and not illegal – as long as the pulling forward only occurred occasionally and the customers willingly approved placing their orders early.

But problems began to mount when the pull-forwards became more frequent. The same executive explained: “We found ourselves pulling forward sales every quarter.”

At the end of 2016, the pull-forward tactics collapsed when Under Armour’s largest customer, Dick’s Sporting Goods, abruptly stopped taking products early. Its management team was upset by Under Armour’s decision to sell lower-priced products through discount channels like T.J. Maxx and Kohl’s. And just like that, the jig was up.

As Harvard Business School Professor Ethan Rouen explained after researching the company’s pull-forward strategy, “If you’re mortgaging the future, it’s eventually going to catch up.”

The Under Armour pull-forward strategy is a great example of why we at Stansberry Research are so focused on not only seeing robust growth in revenue, but also in free cash flow (“FCF”)…

FCF is the profit left after a company pays all expenses, including capital expenditures. The more FCF a company produces, the more cash it can return to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Sales growth alone can power stocks higher for a while. But over the long run, growth in FCF generation is what’s most correlated to outsized shareholder returns.

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Therein lies the issue with a company like Under Armour. Just look at the seven-year period from 2009 to 2016, before the company’s pull-forward strategy went bust. Sales grew by more than 460%, but profit margins fell. This led to earnings growth of just over 300%, but a decline in FCF.

As investors, we want to find businesses with scale advantages that improve margins and FCF rates over time. We want businesses that become more capital efficient as they grow… in other words, businesses that get better as they get bigger.

The stock market loves growth, and for good reason. But to invest in sustainable growth over the long term, make sure you keep your eye on the metrics that matter…

Strategic Trends Investor Review – What is David Fessler’s “The Next Stock of the Decade?”

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What is “The Next Stock of the Decade”?

“The Next Stock of the Decade” is a brand new presentation that comes from technology expert David Fessler of The Oxford Club. In the presentation, he revealed a NASA technology, originally developed for use on Mars, that is making serious waves. This tech is now being used by Walmart, eBay, Google, Safeway, Home Depot, Ikea and dozens of other companies.

It’s spreading like wildfire. And investors are loading up on shares.

The lead investor behind both Google and Amazon is backing it. He’s put in hundreds of millions of dollars. And everything this guy touches turns to gold.

He backed Slack, Netscape, Compaq, Intuit, Twitter, Beyond Meat and many more.

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Final Word

Every decade has its top-performing stock.

In the ’80s, it was Walmart… the ’90s, Cisco… the 2000s, Monster… and in the 2010s, Netflix.

The average gain on those four stocks was 21,067%… or 210 times your money.

Let me emphasize that…

210 times your money.

That’s what a “stock of the decade” can do for you.

And now you’re about to discover “the Next Stock of the Decade”… a company David Fessler believes will be the No. 1 performer of the 2020s.

David Fessler is not alone in his belief that this stock will be the biggest hit of the next 10 years.

The Next Stock of the Decade is backed by the original lead investor in both Amazon and Google.

He’s called it “the largest economic opportunity of the 21st century.”

It’s also being targeted by Bloomberg’s No. 1 stock picker of 2019. His fund has loaded up with 6.5 MILLION shares.

And now you too can get in on the tech stock that has Fortune 100 companies lining up to do business with it.

Its customers include Walmart… Ikea… AT&T… Panasonic… Google… Verizon… Safeway… Home Depot… and even NASA.

It’s geared up to take over a $928 BILLION market.

Yet today, it trades for just $10.

So ask yourself…

Would the best investors in the world be backing it… and would the top companies in the world be partnering with it… if it didn’t have the chance to become an all-time winner?

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