Silver is likely to Outperform Gold in the Coming Months

The gold-to-silver ratio hit its highest level ever. And that record stood… until 2020 came along. Now, that three-decade record has been broken. Gold is more expensive relative to silver than at any time in the past 40-plus years –going back to when gold first started trading freely in the early ’70s.

By Chris Igou, analyst, True Wealth

The record stood for 29 years…

In 1991, silver was dirt-cheap relative to gold. Prices for both metals had fallen over the previous year. But silver’s fall was much more dramatic.

As a result, gold became extremely expensive compared with its kooky cousin. That value gap peaked on January 29, 1991…

The gold-to-silver ratio hit its highest level ever. And that record stood… until 2020 came along.

Now, that three-decade record has been broken. Gold is more expensive relative to silver than at any time in the past 40-plus years –going back to when gold first started trading freely in the early ’70s.

Importantly, this value gap won’t last forever. And silver is likely to outperform gold in the coming months as a result.

Let me explain…


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Gold is the extrovert at a party. It takes the spotlight at cocktail gatherings. It’s the star in the precious metals market most of the time.

This isn’t a bad thing… But when gold hogs the spotlight, people tend to forget about silver entirely.

That’s exactly what’s happening right now. Investors have driven gold prices through the roof. Meanwhile, silver hasn’t seen the same explosive rally. Check it out…

Silver prices are down 3% this year, while gold prices are up 14%. And in recent weeks, we’ve seen the widest value gap between the metals of all time.

Simply put, silver has never been a better deal, relative to gold, than it is today. The ratio of the two metals broke out to all-time highs in April. Check it out…

When this chart is low, silver is expensive. And when the chart is high, silver is cheap.

You can see that gold has rarely been anywhere near this expensive compared with silver. It has only happened a few times since 1991. And each time, it led to massive rallies in silver – and major outperformance versus gold.

The first similar instance was when the gold-to-silver ratio peaked in January 1991. For the next five-plus months, silver outperformed gold…

While gold was slightly down from the end of January through June, silver was up 18%. That’s an impressive move. But the upside potential can get even better…

We saw another example in May 2003. Gold was again getting expensive compared with silver. And if you had bought silver then, you would have crushed gold investors…

Sure, gold went on to rally 15% from May 2003 into April 2004. But silver rallied 81% over the same period… It was no-contest outperformance.

The last time we saw gold’s value tower over silver’s was in November 2008. And you guessed it… Once again, buying silver when the gold-to-silver ratio was high was the right call.


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Gold rallied a solid 44% from November 2008 into late November 2009. But it was no match for silver’s 82% gain during that time.

Today, gold is the most expensive it has ever been relative to silver. And while it doesn’t mean gold prices have to fall, it does mean silver is likely to outperform gold in the coming months.

So if you’re looking to invest in precious metals, history says silver is the better bet today.