Steady Income Investments

We Are In The Middle Of a Market Melt Up

We’re in the middle of a market Melt Up. And the incredible gains we’ve seen – along with an economic slump that slowed earnings – have pushed valuations to incredible heights.

By Chris Igou, analyst, True Wealth

U.S. stocks are darn expensive. There’s no disputing that.

We’re in the middle of a market Melt Up. And the incredible gains we’ve seen – along with an economic slump that slowed earnings – have pushed valuations to incredible heights.

Specifically, the S&P 500 Index is trading at its highest valuation since the dot-com peak in 2000.

The S&P 500 trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 30. It rose above that level for the first time in two decades earlier this month.

Now, while high valuations are a warning sign… they are not a signal that a crash is imminent.

In fact, high valuations are a good thing in a market like the one we have today. And they could rise even higher as the Melt Up continues.

Let me explain…

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The P/E ratio is one of the easiest ways to value a market. It’s a gauge of how much you are paying for the amount of earnings you receive in return. The higher the P/E ratio, the higher the “price tag” for stocks.

Today, valuations are near record highs based on this common measure.

This is exactly what you’d expect during a Melt Up like we’re experiencing today. Investors buy into the incredible rally, no matter the price. This drives valuations through the roof.

We can see this play out in the chart below. The P/E ratio for the S&P 500 soared in the final innings of the late-1990s Melt Up. Take a look…

From October 1998 to April 1999, valuations jumped more than 35%. And the P/E ratio hit 30 for the first time in April 1999.

But panic-selling then would have been a terrible mistake. Those high valuations didn’t cause a crash.

Instead, the S&P 500 rallied another 19% to its peak in late March 2000.

The market’s P/E ratio was at or near 30 for an entire year leading up to the 2000 peak. And that goes to show, high valuations can last for a while… and get even higher in the meantime.

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Today, the broad market has only been at 30 for a few weeks. So yes, U.S. stocks are expensive. But they can remain expensive for longer than you think. And the market could rally much higher before an eventual peak sets in – with huge gains for individual stocks.

It’s important to keep an eye on valuations. But they’re not a reason to flee to safety just yet.

Instead, with the trend in our favor, the smart move continues to be staying long stocks.

Jeff Clark’s Strategy for Great Option Portfolio

The ideal strategy, though, at least in my experience, is to use the bulk of your trading account for conservative trades – like selling uncovered puts. And, take the profits from that activity to fund a few speculative purchases.

By Jeff Clark – the editor of the Jeff Clark Trader

There’s an essential question I’ve been asked over and over again throughout the years from folks who are new to options trading. I was recently just asked this question again, so I wanted to address it here.

How much money should I put into each of your trade recommendations?

Let’s start the answer to that question with the obligatory disclaimer…

The answer depends on how you are as a trader/investor. Your age, net worth, risk tolerance, financial goals, income, and many more factors need to be considered. What’s right for one may not be right for another. So, you need to trade in amounts that are comfortable for you.

Now, having said all of that, let me share a few thoughts…

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Remember, the purpose of options is to reduce risk – not increase it. So, as a simple rule of thumb, you can trade one option contract for every 100 shares of stock you would normally trade.

If you normally buy 1,000 shares of stock, then buy 10 option contracts (or sell 10 uncovered options as per the recommendation). If you normally trade in lots of 500 shares, then five option contracts will do. Even if you start with just one option contract, that’s perfectly fine as well.

This is an ultra-conservative option strategy. It’s what I would tell my mother to do if she were new to option trading. You’ll never overleverage a trade this way, and you’ll never have one losing position blow up your account.

Now, if you’ve been trading options for a while – and are comfortable with them, can handle a more aggressive form of trading, and can be disciplined with your position sizes – then let me share with you how I basically trade my own portfolio.

The Conservative Option Trader’s Portfolio

Let’s say you have $100,000 in your trading account (you may have more or less, but using $100,000 makes the math simple).

Take $80,000 and set it aside for conservative trades like selling uncovered put options. The other $20,000 can be used for speculative option buying.

The basic idea here is to attempt to make enough money on the $80,000 conservative side of the portfolio to pay for any possible losses on the $20,000 speculative side. And, if you do well speculating, then you’ll add a nice windfall profit to your account.

Selling uncovered put options is a low-risk, conservative strategy. You get paid cash up front for agreeing to buy shares of stock you already like and at a discount. It’s one of my absolute favorite options strategies.

So, let’s first look at how to allocate the $80,000 in conservative uncovered put option trades…

Take the $80,000, divide it by 10, and you get $8,000.

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That’s the most you will allocate to any one conservative trade.

I can’t ever recall a time when I had more than 10 uncovered put option positions at work at the same time. Usually, I have maybe four or five trades at work.

So, I almost always carry a large cash position. That comes in handy on those rare occasions – once or twice each year – when stocks reach truly extreme conditions, and I have lots of trading opportunities in front of me.

For the purpose of this example, I’ll allocate AT MOST $8,000 (10% of the money I’ve set aside for this strategy) for each uncovered put position.

For example, one time I recommended selling the Citigroup (C) September 18 $50 uncovered put options for $1.65. The margin requirement for each option contract was $1,000 (that’s 20% of the purchase obligation to buy 100 shares of C at $50). If we divide $8,000 by $1,000, we get 8.

So, in this instance, I would be comfortable selling 8 of the C puts. Of course, that means I have to be comfortable buying 800 shares of C – which I am. Your risk tolerance may be different, and you might choose a smaller position.

But, most folks SHOULD NOT take a larger position than this.

By selling 8 of the C uncovered put options at the recommended price of $1.65, I’ll collect $1,320. And, if the option expires worthless – which is always the best outcome on an uncovered put trade – I’ll record a nice $1,320 profit on the trade.

So, if you’re not taking advantage of this strategy, then you’re missing out on some tremendous returns.

And, it’s those returns that help to fund the speculative side of the account…

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How to Speculate Without Risking It All

Buying speculative puts and calls is exciting. It’s thrilling to think about the potential of earning 100%, 200%, or more in just a few days. But, the reality is… most folks who speculate with options lose money.

First of all, put and call options have the potential to expire worthless – meaning everything you put into the position goes to zero.

Plus, most folks overleverage their trades. They take on too large of a position. Then, when the trade goes against them, they wipe out their account – don’t be that person.

Take, AT MOST, 20% of your account (in this example, $20,000), and set it aside for speculating. Divide that $20,000 by 10, and you get $2,000.

That is the absolute most you should put into any option speculation.

Similar to my uncovered put option trades, I don’t think I’ve ever had more than 10 speculative positions at work at any one time. Usually, I have three or four trades running, and I carry a large cash position.

Another example is the Beazer Homes USA (BZH) August 21 $10 call options I once recommended buying for $1.30. The absolute most you would buy is 15 options ($2,000 divided by $130).

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Now, frankly, I might even be more conservative than this and limit the trade to $1,000 or $1,500. But, even if you take the $2,000 position, the most you’re risking of your total account is 2%.

If you’re wrong, it’ll hurt to lose $2,000. But, it’s not going to wipe you out. And, if you’ve been selling uncovered put options, then your profits on those trades should make up for the loss on an errant speculation.

Buying calls and puts is a riskier strategy than selling uncovered put options. But, the rewards can be terrific.

Tech-Like Returns Without the Risk of Collapse

I’ve searched for an answer that helps investors reduce risk… without sacrificing upside. And I believe I’ve found it – with a class of investments called warrants.

By David Forest, editor, Strategic Investor

You know something’s wrong when even corporate CEOs say their share prices are too high.

That’s what happened during the massive Airbnb initial public offering (IPO) last month. Airbnb’s CEO Brian Chesky said simply, “I don’t know what else to say.”

Chesky was speechless after Airbnb’s share price more than doubled the day of the IPO. That gave the tech darling an improbable $100 billion market capitalization – for a company that makes zero profits, and doesn’t return a dime to shareholders.

The “price-to-book ratio” is a common metric used to determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. In Airbnb’s case, the stock now has a price-to-book ratio of 232x.

For comparison, stocks in the S&P 500 have a price-to-book ratio of 4x. Just four. Airbnb is 58 times more expensive.

You can see why a CEO might be speechless.

Some tech leaders try to put a better spin on these out-of-whack valuations. “Everyone is entitled to their opinion,” said DoorDash CEO Tony Xu recently, suggesting that valuations are just in the eye of the beholder.

But in the back of everyone’s minds – CEOs, analysts, and investors – they’re worried.

Because this is exactly what happened before the Dot Com Crash, one of the greatest stock wipeouts of our time.

According to MarketWatch, ordinary Americans are being put on “restriction lists,” being banned from using certain businesses.

Why is this happening? And what does it mean for you?

Widely-followed geopolitical expert Nick Giambruno explains:

“This is just the beginning of a much larger movement I’ve been watching unfold for years in the United States.

Law-abiding Americans will soon have a critical decision to make.”

Will you be banned next?

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We’re Nearing Dangerous “Sky-High” Valuations

In March 2000, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 saw its price-to-book ratio spike to an all-time high. Warning signs were flashing of an impending crash.

The ratio for tech stocks then was 14x. Airbnb today is 232x. Tesla is 37.5x.

We all know what happened next. The tech rout started in March 2000, and eventually dropped stock prices nearly 80%. Investors lost a combined $5 trillion.

Many individuals saw their savings wiped out. Headlines like “I lost my pension in the Dot Com Crash” are a grim legacy.

I’m extra concerned this time around. In 2000, at least demographics were on our side.

Back in 2000, the average baby boomer – born in the middle of the boom, in 1955 – was 45 years old. Losing your savings at that age, you still had time to rebuild. Not pleasant, but doable.

Today however, the average baby boomer is 65 years old. Losing your savings in a crash isn’t an option. For a retiree, it would be devastating – almost impossible to come back from.

But selling out of tech stocks right now is tricky. They’ve delivered some of the best gains on the market recently. Tesla’s stock jumped 718% in 2020.

Those big returns are important. With Treasurys yielding almost nothing, investors are desperate for a way to grow their savings.

Investors today need a middle ground: a way to get tech-like returns… without braving the devastating risk of a collapse.

I’ve searched for an answer that helps investors reduce risk… without sacrificing upside. And I believe I’ve found it – with a class of investments called warrants.

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Tech-Like Returns… Without the Risk of Collapse

Warrants are a relatively simple type of investment.

They trade on major exchanges with ticker symbols just like regular stocks. And you can buy and sell them with a few clicks through almost any brokerage account.

But few investors take advantage of warrants. Most finance pros know about these investments, but many individual investors have never heard of them.

That’s a massive opportunity. Because warrants have much bigger upside than stocks.

Two warrants I recently recommended to readers of my Strategic Trader advisory returned 4,942% and 2,805% in 2020. They beat Tesla’s incredible performance by a wide margin.

Other warrants I’ve covered returned between 132% and 676%. All within the span of two years or less.

Those are phenomenal returns. But there’s another reason I’m really excited about warrants…

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He blasts Congress, reveals nasty truths about America…

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How to Get Outsized Gains From “Boring” Stocks

These unique investments allow investors to get outsized returns even from “boring” sectors. The kind that aren’t overvalued like tech… or at risk of a crash.

Here’s a chart showing the average valuation for the major sectors of the stock market.

While tech is running hot, sectors like energy, utilities, and industrials are selling cheap. If you buy the average energy stock today, it’s 80% cheaper than tech companies, on a price-to-book basis.

That low valuation insulates us against losses in the event of a crash. In fact, sectors like utilities are widely viewed as defensive investments. They can weather the storm, and even profit during down markets.

The problem with these sectors is the stocks don’t deliver big returns.

In 2019, the Select Sector Index of utilities stocks gained 26%. Not bad. But it’s far from the hundreds of percent tech stocks like Tesla are delivering.

But with warrants, you can supercharge your gains even in boring sectors. The 4,942% gain I mentioned above was on a mattress company. It doesn’t get much more basic than that.

There are warrants on undervalued sectors like oil and gas, industrials, financials, and even consumer products.

In October, for example, I advised buying a warrant on a major energy company. It’s a large-cap, well-established firm. You’ve undoubtedly heard of it, and you might even use its products weekly.

It’s a business most investors would pass over as boring or outdated.

But the warrants on this energy giant are anything but boring. They’re up 243% as I write.

I believe that’s just the beginning for these warrants. In fact, this “boring” energy firm could be our next 1,000% winner. It could even do better than that.

Warrants allow us to make huge returns… on neglected sectors of the economy. And at the same time, they allow us to reduce our risk of being wiped out by a crash.

Now, I’m not suggesting you sell out of tech investments completely. Far from it. Almost everyone today has a portion of their portfolio in big names like Facebook, Google, and the like.

But I am concerned about the future for these stocks.

If you are as well, I urge you to look at my research on warrants. Moving even a small portion of your portfolio into these unique investments could protect you against financial devastation in a crash… while delivering gains just as good, or even better, than high-flying tech stocks.

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021: Stansberry Research’s Event

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event is scheduled to take place on January 26th, when Austin Root – Director of Research in Stansberry Research will be sitting down with Stansberry’s top analysts, including Dr. Steve Sjuggerud and Dr. David Eifrig to share their big predictions for the year ahead and a complete playbook for how to come out on top of the wildest stock market in 10 years.

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event is scheduled to take place on January 26th, when Austin Root – Director of Research in Stansberry Research will be sitting down with Stansberry’s top analysts, including Dr. Steve Sjuggerud and Dr. David Eifrig to share their big predictions for the year ahead and a complete playbook for how to come out on top of the wildest stock market in 10 years.

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What is Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event?

Two and a half years ago, Stansberry Research team published a book with an important message.

They called it The Battle for America: Why the Next Election Will Cause the Biggest Financial Crisis in U.S. History

And predicted:

The 2020 Presidential Election would be the ugliest of our lifetime…

The rise of Kamala Harris…

And a Democrat victory, on the promise of forgiving student loan debt… universal healthcare… and free money for most Americans.

Which brings us to today…

In mere hours, President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris will begin rolling out a proposed $1.5 trillion in additional stimulus spending. They’re going to spend billions to speed up the nation’s vaccination efforts. And will move to cancel billions in student loan debt.

Stansberry Research predictions back in 2018 have been so accurate one reader asked if they had “divine vision into the future.”

Today, Stansberry Research are reaching out with an even more important message that we urge you to take seriously.

This has nothing to do with politics.

Whether you’re Democrat… Republican… Libertarian… or apolitical – this is something you need to pay attention to.

Because these policies – fueled by continuous money-printing, and a nation accustomed to government handouts – will have inevitable effects.

Today’s inauguration will have an effect on your money… your investments… your freedom… your very way of life.

And so our message to you today, is:

If you don’t have a solid plan in place, you need to be worried.

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Whether your accounts are riding high right now… you’re nervous that you need to do better in 2021 to achieve your financial goals… you need a firm game plan for what comes next…

If you DON’T have a plan, or you’re not sure whether your plan is sturdy enough, we’d like to show you exactly what you should be doing today.

We’d like to give you the specific steps Stansberry Research recommend you take with your money – down to the cent, in order to be prepared for what’s around the corner.

And so on January 26th, Austin Root – Director of Research in Stansberry Research will be sitting down with Stansberry’s top analysts, including Dr. Steve Sjuggerud and Dr. David Eifrig to share their big predictions for the year ahead… and a complete playbook for how to come out on top of the wildest stock market in 10 years.

When is Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event scheduled to take place?

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event has been scheduled to take place on Tuesday, January 26th, at 8 pm ET. It is important to note here that this event has limited spacing, so the sooner one signs up, the more likely they are guaranteed a seat.

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How to sign up for Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event?

To get access to Dr. Steve Sjuggerud #1 Stock for 2021 Event, all individuals have to do is enter their respective emails here. Upon entering, those residing in the U.S. (or have a U.S.-based phone number) will also be presented with the chance of becoming VIPs.

As a VIP, you’ll receive complimentary text message reminders leading up to the event on Tuesday, January 26th, to make sure you don’t forget to tune in. (The messages stop immediately after the event)

PLUS, when you sign up for this VIP Reminder Service, you’ll also receive a copy of a brand-new research report from Dr. Steve Sjuggerud.

In it, you’ll find the name of the stock he pitched last year… which went on to soar as much as 408%. That’s 5 times your money, in just 1 year!

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Teeka Tiwari: Palm Beach Letter Asset Allocation Model

Teeka Tiwari will show you the secret behind his asset allocation model – and why it’s the best way he knows to move the needle on your wealth.

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Daily

On Monday, I uncovered Wall Street’s three biggest myths…

To recap:

Myth No. 1: Asset Allocation Means Choosing Between Stocks and Bonds
Myth No. 2: You Have to Take More Risk to Make More Money
Myth No. 3: You Need to Pay for Performance

These myths severely limit your investment choices… Which causes you to take much bigger risks.… And to add insult to injury, you further hurt your performance by forfeiting more money just to get worse results.

You can read the full issue right here.

As promised, today I’ll show you the secret behind our asset allocation model – and why it’s the best way I know to move the needle on your wealth.

The Palm Beach Letter Asset Allocation Model

First, let’s get to our allocation model. Instead of Wall Street’s two asset classes, we have eight.

Asset Class	Instruments	Allocation
Equities	Stocks, mutual funds, ETFs, CEFs, etc.	Up to 70%
Fixed Income	Bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, CEFs, CDs, annuities, bond alternatives, etc.	Up to 60%
Real Estate	Residential/commercial real estate, REITs, etc.	Up to 50%
Private Markets	Private equity, venture capital, startups, etc.	Up to 5%
Cryptos	Cryptocurrencies, altcoins, etc.	Up to 2%
Precious Metals	Gold, silver, ETFs, etc.	Up to 10%
Collectibles	Fine art, collector cars, fine wine, etc.	Up to 5%
Cash	Cash, money markets, cash-like alternatives, etc.	Up to 10%

If you look at the table above, you’ll notice our suggested allocation sizes don’t add up to 100%. That’s because each individual is unique.

Every investor has a different financial road map – including monetary situation, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon. So we don’t recommend one-size-fits-all allocations.

You might keep a heavier allocation to Fixed Income. You might want to rely more on Equities. Or perhaps you want to move to the upper-limit ranges for alternative assets, such as Private Markets and Cryptos.

Our basic framework gives you the flexibility to build a diversified portfolio that best fits your long-term investment goals. Over time, we’ve safely beaten the market using this approach.

But if you really want to move the needle on your wealth, you need to add our “secret sauce” to your asset allocation…

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Asymmetric Investing

Unlike Wall Street, at PBRG we don’t need to place outsized bets to try and get mediocre returns. That’s a recipe for disaster.

Instead, we recommend doing it the other way around: Making relatively small bets on investments that can make life-changing gains.

First, we find safe, conservative ideas that generate multiple streams of income. These could be assets like dividend-paying stocks or bonds.

Then we put a portion of that safe income into what we call “asymmetric” risk investing.

You see, symmetric risk is when you invest $100 for a chance to make $100. That’s a 100% return. But triple-digit returns are rare in the stock market…

That’s why typical investors end up making a very unfair negative asymmetric bet. They often can’t bank more than the average annual return on the S&P 500, about 7%. So they’ll put up $100 for the chance to make just $6–7 per year.

When you make a negative asymmetric bet like this, you’re risking way more than what you’re potentially getting in return.

What we do is something very different. We put our subscribers in the position to harness the effects of positive asymmetric risk.

With positive asymmetric risk, you put up the same $100… but you could stand to make $100,000 – or more.

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This approach gives you the opportunity to turn tiny grubstakes into life-changing gains without putting your current lifestyle at risk.

And taking these outsized bets is only possible because of the first step in our roadmap. Meaning, even if you blow all your safe income in one year on risky asymmetric bets… you’ll see 100% of that money replenished next year from your safe income.

This is the secret behind getting really rich without ever blowing yourself up. And it’s why I keep the majority of my wealth in “boring” blue-chip dividend stocks and income real estate. They kick out hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in dividend and rental income.

I then take that income and use it to make asymmetric investments. This has created a self-funding wealth machine.

I have made millions of dollars in asymmetric gains this way. And I’ve done it without putting my current lifestyle at risk.

Friends, this is the key to getting – and staying – rich.

It takes time to build up your portfolio of safe assets… but it’s where you need to start. Build up those assets then take the income from those safe investments and use that money for your asymmetric bets.

This gives you huge staying power even when things go badly. For instance, during the crypto winter my bitcoin and Ethereum positions dropped 85%. My paper losses were in the millions.

I was able to weather that storm because my daily lifestyle was never at risk. Friends, this is key…. no matter how much you love an idea NEVER EVER risk your current lifestyle for the hope of a better one.

“Penny Trades” are cheap and explosive…

Warren Buffett grabbed 46 million of them for 1¢ a pop.

Right now, he’s up as much as a rare 4,429% on this trade.

But “Penny Trades” aren’t reserved for billionaires like Buffett.

Thanks to SEC loophole 30.52, you can play them in your brokerage account.

One of these “Penny Trades” shot up 183% in one day…
Penny Trades can pay far MORE than stocks…
Our readers just saw a 19¢ trade shoot up as much as a rare 5,100%…

Here’s the No. 1 “Penny Trade” for RIGHT NOW

Bringing It All Together

The most important thing you can take from this essay is this: Wall Street is 100% right that asset allocation plays a critical role in how much money you make over time…

But they are completely WRONG about what those assets should be. If you severely limit your choices from the start, it sends you down a path of bigger risks and lower returns.

In contrast, we recommend building a solid base of income-producing investments from a wide range of assets.

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That extra income allows you to grow your overall wealth faster – without putting your principal capital at risk.

You can then take your reliable, safe income and use a portion of it to grow your wealth rapidly through strategies like our asymmetric crypto and private market plays.

The beauty of this approach is the income replenishes every year. So even if you’re totally wrong on your aggressive plays, you won’t hurt your lifestyle or impair your wealth. Within a year, all the income will be replaced.